The inverted Yield is basically 6/6 as an indicator of an oncoming recession. At initial inversion the stock market sees initial growth as rates go higher. It isn't until on average 16-19 months that a recession occurs after initial inversion.
www.putnam.com
A study by Bloomberg tracked performance of the S&P 500 against the 2 and 10 year US treasury inverted...
Historically it looks like there is a correlation between the dollar index and BTC. Something to consider in the macroeconomic view. The best time to potentially sell BTC in the next bull rush is when the dollar index is in the 90-93.5 Range.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
INDEX:DXY
TVC:DXY
Sometimes I just draw lines and throw stuff at the wall to see if it sticks. So I had some fun with log graphs on BTC and Market Cap excluding BTC/ETH, AKA Alts. The following chart is the alt market cap. The yellow vertical lines are halving dates or expected halving dates. (April 16,2024 per time of writing). The blue lines are the approximate market bottoms....
