I just took a scalp on ETH as it looked like it wanted to break the 50 & 100SMA on the 4hr. Entry $1581.75 Amount: 5 TP $1725 SL $1480 NFA DYOR
The DXY is up +0.60% to start the week & has been on a tear since it tested the support channel on Aug 11 @ $104.625. Things to note: - LT support line is @ $106 - $107 - price action is ABOVE the 9/21/50/100/200/300 SMAs which is BULLISH - LT overhead resistance is @ $111 - $112 We have a FED FOMC meeting & rate raise coming up on Sept 21. Maybe we test the...
The SPX is down -0.2% to start the week. Things to note: - today we saw our 1st break of the BF support channel, but have reclaimed it so far - bull target #1, get back above 50 & 100SMAs @ $4020 - bull target #2, gap fill @ $4060 - bear target #1 gap fill @ $3790 - bear target #2 gap fill @ $3675 - IF bear targets are met, expect a re-test June low @ $3635
The NDX is down -0.70% for the day. Things to note: - price has failed to rally and get back into BF channel for 3 days now - bear target #1 is gap fill @ $11.77k - bear target #2 is gap fill @ $11.3k - IF we get a re-test of the June low, bears need it to break & bulls need a double bottom - bull target #1 re-test BF channel - bull target #2 break above the...
BTC Update: Daily TF Sept 6 Bitcoin failed to break above the 9SMA today & broke down to test the Jul 13 low @ $18.9K Things to note: - we've had a re-test and bounce from the Jul 13 low @ $18.9K - next bearish target IF Jul low doesn't hold is a re-test of the June low @ $17.6K - bulls have FAILED to break the 9SMA to the upside for 12 daily candles in a row -...
Let's have a look at the S&P500 on the weekly timeframe. The S&P500 has been in a bearish macro trend since it's ATH on January 3, 2022. Things to note: - we got a bearish rejection @ the 50 SMA & bear flag resistance channle @ $4300 on Aug 16 - the SPX had a bearish break below the 100SMA @ $4165 in the week of Aug 22 - after breaking below the 9 & 21SMAs, we...
We cannot rule out the possibility of a bounce or lower high being set on the NDX, so here are the targets that I would be looking @: - price action holding well at $12K support + liquidity zone - 1st target is @ the BF support line $12.3K - 2nd is gap fill @ $12.6K - 3rd is the downward slopping trendline @ $12.9K - 4th is gap-fill @ $13.3K - 5th is another gap @...
As noted in the weekly TF update, the NDX has been bouncing around in a Bear Flag since the June low @ $11,040. Things to note on the daily TF: - rejection @ BF resistance channel @ $13.7K on Aug 16 - got a bearish cross of the 9SMA below the 21 on Aug 26 - price action is below the 9/21/50/100/200/300 SMAs which is bearish, BUT the 50 looks like it might want to...
The NDX set a peak on November 22, 2021 and has been trending down ever since. Thing to note: - the 50SMA (green line) is looking like it's heading down to make a bearish cross below the 100SMA (yellow line). This would be extremely bearish, especially on the weekly TF - the NDX formed a Bear Flag channel from the June low @ $11,040, and saw a massive rejection...
ETH looks pretty bullish on the 4hour timeframe because it is above most of the SMAs, except for the 200 & 300 (red and purple), but overall targets are still the same as the daily chart. Things to note: - the bulls have found support above the 9/21/50 & 100 SMAs between $1553 & $1578 - bulls now looking to test the 300SMA @ $1655 - if 300SMA breaks to upside,...
Like BTC, ETH has been following a Bear Flag channel pattern since it's low on June 18th. UNLIKE BTC, ETH has yet to test/break below the BF support channel. Things to note, top to bottom: - major overhead resistance @ the 200SMA & topside of the BF channel @ $2100 - liquidity zone between $1825 - $1975 (these LIKE to be tested but do not NEED to be just yet) -...
There isn't much to add regarding the 4HR TF. BTC got a bearish cross of the 200 below the 300 on Sept 2nd (never want to see short-term SMAs cross below long-term SMAs). The bulls are eyeing a bounce target @ the 100 SMA @ $20.6K. Next upside targets would be the BF support channel + the 200 & 300 SMAs between $22K - $22.5K. Regardless of any ST bounces, I'm...
BTC broke below the bear flag, that it formed back June, for the first time on Aug 26 with a large red candlestick. Since then it has been UNABLE to reclaim the BF channel as support. On Aug 29th we got a BEARISH cross of the 21 below the 50, and we are below ALL moving averages EXCEPT the 9SMA. The bulls will look to try and reclaim the 21SMA @ $20.8K. If...
Bitcoin's macro trend is bearish. The weekly timeframe looks terrible. BTC is BELOW all of its SMAs except for the 300. The 50 is crossing below the 100 which is a weekly TF death cross, and we broke below the bear flag support channel 2 weeks ago and have been unable to reclaim it since.
This chart is simply to outline the current cycles' macro bottom and top to create reference for my work/thesis