1. Top-Down Bias 1. Weekly (Long-Term): • Structural Trend: Bullish (higher highs/higher lows) since mid-2022. • Momentum: Cooling (Weekly MACD negative, RSI slipping from overbought). • Conclusion: Still in an uptrend overall, but increasingly vulnerable to corrective pullbacks. 2. Daily (Intermediate-Term): • Trend: Corrective/short-term bearish tilt...
1. Top-Down Bias Weekly (Macro) • Trend: Long-term bullish (higher highs, higher lows). • Support Zone: ~2,720–2,770 (overlaps with 20/50 SMAs and weekly order blocks). • Resistance: ~2,956 (recent swing high); next fib extension near 3,029. • Momentum: RSI ~64 (still above 50), MACD positive, price well above Ichimoku Cloud. Bias: Strongly bullish unless...
1. Top-Down Bias • Weekly (Long-Term) • Bias: Still in a primary uptrend (higher highs & higher lows, trading above key SMAs and the Ichimoku Cloud). • Current Pressure: Latest weekly candle shows a sharp pullback; momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) are rolling over from positive territory. • Daily (Intermediate) • Bias: Turned short-term bearish (clearly below...
Below are some general, educational ideas on how traders often approach markets under conditions like these. This is not financial advice—simply a high‐level look at potential strategies, risk‐management considerations, and scenarios based on the previous technical report. Always do your own due diligence and consider professional advice for your specific...
BTC Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Potential Correction Toward the 70–71k Zone Below is a structured overview of Bitcoin’s price action across Monthly, Weekly, Daily, and 4H timeframes. The overarching theme is that BTC appears to be rejecting from key channel resistance, suggesting a corrective move could unfold before any renewed upside momentum. 1. Monthly...
NATURAL GAS – INTEGRATED PREMIUM TRADING/INVESTMENT REPORT (All data current as of Feb 21, 2025, unless otherwise noted. No major updates post-Feb 21. Any contradictory signals are flagged in context.) 1) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Natural Gas (NG) has shifted into a bullish structure on higher timeframes after a prolonged 2022 downtrend. Macro indicators suggest that...
GER40 – Week of Feb24th Disclaimer: This document is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Markets carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions. 1. Executive...
1. Top-Down Bias Weekly: • Trend: Strongly bullish, printing Higher Highs and Higher Lows since late 2022. Price is above all major SMAs (10, 50, 100, 200) and well above the Ichimoku Cloud. • Momentum: RSI ~75 (overbought but can persist in a strong uptrend). MACD & ADX confirm robust bullish momentum. • Conclusion: No major signs of topping; the long-term...
The US100 (Nasdaq) remains bullish on the higher (Weekly/Daily) timeframes, but short-term (4H/2H) indicators suggest a correction or pullback. This creates a split bias: either the market finds support and resumes the uptrend, or it breaks key levels and continues lower. • Support Zones: • 21,580–21,400 (immediate short-term supports) • 21,200–21,000 (major...
## **3. Macro Position Trader Setups (Weeks/Months/Years)** ### **Key Context** - **Macro & Institutional Positioning:** - **Overall Macro Environment:** Bullish for gold due to stable liquidity, a weaker U.S. dollar, and central-bank gold purchases. However, the **slight ETF outflow** from GLD indicates some near-term profit-taking. - **Speculative Net...
## **2. Swing Trader Setups (Days to Weeks)** ### **Key Context** - **Macro & Positioning:** - The **macro environment** (weaker USD, stable credit markets, and strong institutional interest) is generally **bullish for Gold**. However, the **slight ETF outflows** in GLD indicate some short-term trimming. Macro conflict severity for gold is mild (2 out of...
## **1. Intraday Trader Setups (Short-Term)** - **Key Context** - **Macro & Technical Backdrop (From Reports)** - **Macro:** Overall bullish environment for Gold (weaker dollar, stable liquidity, robust institutional demand), but recent minor ETF outflows indicate some profit-taking. (Severity 2 conflict flagged: bullish macro vs. slight outflows.) ...
Below are Dual-Scenario Trade Setups for three trader types—Short-Term, Swing, and Macro—based on the previously completed top-down technical analysis. Each category includes a Primary (Bias-Aligned) setup reflecting the overall bullish consolidation bias, plus an Alternate (Contrary) setup in case price breaks key levels and invalidates the primary scenario. 1....
1. Short-Term Trader (Intraday to Multi-Day) A) Primary (Bias-Aligned) Setup • Rationale: Aligns with the broader uptrend and the ongoing range support near 38,900–39,000 on lower timeframes. Looks for a short-term rally if price reclaims local resistance. • Execution Parameters: • Entry Trigger: • Await a 1H candle close above ~39,300 (near local...
## SWING-TRADING (MULTI-WEEK) NIKKEI SETUP ### Overall Context - **Market Sentiment & Positioning**: Institutional flows remain cautiously optimistic, with elevated hedging but steady inflows into key equity segments. The broader late-cycle expansion continues, while inflation shows signs of moderating. - **Monetary Policy & Macro Factors**: Central banks...
SHORT-TERM (INTRADAY TO MULTI-DAY) NIKKEI SETUP Overall Context Institutional & Derivatives Backdrop: The broader market environment remains cautiously bullish, supported by stable liquidity and a net long gamma bias among dealers. This typically helps dampen extreme volatility and allows for orderly trend development. Macro Influences: The global economy sits in...
MACRO-TRADING (WEEKLY) GER40 SETUP Overall Context Long-Term Trend & Technicals: The weekly trend remains positive, with price generally trading above major moving averages (e.g., 50-, 100-, 200-week). Technical indicators such as trend strength and momentum suggest sustained bullishness, though extended rallies can encounter profit-taking. Institutional & Macro...
Medium-Term (Daily) GER40 – Analysis & Signals --- Market & Institutional Context Macro: Easing inflation and accommodative liquidity conditions continue to support equity markets. Europe’s slower growth vs. the U.S. means the GER40 can be more sensitive to negative local data. Institutional & Derivatives: Overall supportive flow, but hedging remains elevated....