The sharp falls in Tokyo inflation for January remind investors of the ending of the BoJ’s YCC and/or NIRP in 2024 are not set in stone. Tokyo inflation is a very good leading indicator for the nationwide inflation data. Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food as well as headline inflation plunged below the BoJ’s 2% target to 1.6% YoY; well below the consensus...
The ECB left its monetary policy unchanged, in line with expectations. The information available since the December meeting has largely confirmed the central bank’s assessment of the medium-term inflation outlook, leaving the Governing Council (GC) in a wait-and-see mode. ECB President Lagarde confirmed her Davos comments, hence indicating that she still expects...
Revenue: $156.2 billion Net Income: $14.7 billion Market Cap: $114.8 billion 1-Year Trailing Total Return: ~7.5% Exchange: OTC Markets According to Investopedia, it is the 3rd biggest Chinese company and in the top 5 insurance companies in the world Ping An Insurance provides insurance, financial services, and banking. It is one of the top 50 companies...
Tesla experienced a notable setback, with its stock falling as much as 4.2% during Friday's trading session. This decline marks the 11th drop in 12 sessions. The dip follows Hertz Global Holdings Inc.'s announcement of plans to sell off a third of its U.S. electric-vehicle fleet, contributing to the downward pressure on Tesla's shares. Adding to the challenges,...
The recent Houthi attacks on oil tankers have escalated geopolitical tensions, particularly impacting the global oil market and consequently influencing the Canadian dollar (CAD) as a commodity currency. Simultaneously, the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) cautious stance post-earthquake suggests potential extensions of accommodative measures. Geopolitical uncertainties,...
Hello guys, everyone who has followed me long enough knows that 99% of my trades are backed by economic data, news, or fundamental analysis, but this one is not the case. This is purely a short-term trade with high probability since Bitcoin is down for the day as the time of writing and there is a good chance that #sol will reverse and follow the main...
The trade idea capitalizes on the economic strengths of the US and the challenges faced by Japan, making a long position on USD/JPY appealing. Amidst the contrasting economic landscapes of the US and Japan, a long position on USD/JPY appears favorable. The robust and resilient US economy, marked by strong retail sales, positive jobless claims, and optimistic...
Market Insight: ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau has emphasized that the decision on rate cuts in 2024 will be data-driven, rejecting a fixed timeline. ECB President Christine Lagarde, while suggesting a potential rate cut in the summer, emphasizes the importance of data in timing the decision. Central bank officials are cautious about immediate easing...
The USD/JPY pair experienced a recent surge, surpassing the 145.00 level, primarily driven by contrasting policies between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). Notably, the yen weakened following BoJ Governor comments hinting at a prolonged delay in rate hikes, linked to uncertainties after the recent earthquake in Japan. This delay suggests that...
While higher inflation should be an indicator of a booming stock market since the consumers are spending more and the companies make more profit, this time the case is different. The simple macroeconomics behind it: Higher Inflation=Higher Interest Rates, which=Higher Borrowing Costs for the S&P companies And as you have already connected the dots higher...
Trade Strategy: Short Position: Enter on a clear technical break below key support. Stop-Loss: Place above the recent swing high. Take-Profit: Target the next support level, considering the prevailing downtrend. GBP (British Pound): BoE maintains rates, committed to keeping them high, which can damage the economy further and cause a recession. Governor...
Recent geopolitical tensions triggered a 'flight to safety' impacting Asian equities. Japan's Nikkei fell by 0.6%, while Chinese equities, including the Shanghai Composite and Hong Kong's Hang Seng, experienced declines of 0.6% and nearly 2%, respectively. Exercise caution regarding potential short squeezes, especially with markets at all-time highs. Keep...
In a significant escalation of hostilities in the Middle East, Iran fired missiles into Iraq, resulting in casualties. Reports indicate that at least one missile hit very close to the US Consulate in Erbil. Beyond the provocation towards the US, the act of firing missiles into a neighboring country by Iran is likely to prompt a response. Additionally,...
Mastering Stop-Loss and Take-Profit with ATR Indicator What is the ATR Indicator? The Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a nifty tool that helps traders gauge the market's volatility. Simply, it tells you how much an asset typically moves in a given timeframe. Placing Stop Loss to Avoid Getting Stopped Out Step 1: Identify ATR Value Look at the ATR...
Bitcoin recently experienced its most notable decline in approximately a month, coinciding with the diminishing excitement surrounding new US exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the largest digital asset. The cryptocurrency oscillated between gains and losses, eventually settling around $42,655 as of 1:42 p.m. on Monday in Singapore. This marked a three-day...
After last week's joint military actions by the USA and UK against Houthi Rebels in the Red Sea, markets are exercising heightened caution amidst the potential for new conflicts to emerge. In such uncertain scenarios, safe-haven currencies like the Swiss Franc stand to benefit. Another pivotal factor supporting this notion is the recent elections in Taiwan, where...
The potential for a stronger dollar looms ahead, driven by the robustness of the US economy, which enables Federal Reserve officials to pursue a more gradual reduction in interest rates compared to other major central banks. Despite the Federal Reserve's assertive approach to raising interest rates, the US economy has demonstrated resilience, with inflation...
For the last weeks, Gold has been closely trading in between the diagonal support and resistance. The question now is: Where is it going next? We can expect a good Risk to Reward in both directions. I will wait for a break in a certain direction and wait for the retest afterward. More likely after the Higher inflation data and tensions in the Red Sea with the...