


FXpoliticaldynamics
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Since late January, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has produced consistent efforts to stabilize the currency. This has produced tangible results with a upward correction although persistent political tensions. Erdogan's referendum victory is likely to be the most market-friendly option. A "No" scenario may lead to early elections and a period of...
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The prospect of a likely victory of market friendly candidate in France (Macron) would redirect attention to ECB policy normalization and imply a bullish impact on EUR in the middle term. However a victory of Le Pen would drive to an signficant bearish impact on EUR in the short term and support the YEN, as this currency is a big beneficiary of risk aversion. The...
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