Ethereum finally broke its resistance of 1830 usd. This is a welcome break after a 17 days sideways period. Right now we're at day 25 out of the on average 65 days cycle of Bitcoin. I'm using Bitcoin as a reference as Ethereum is highly correlated to that asset. Meaning we still have a max of 2-3 weeks of upside potential, as I expect us to have peak at the...
In my last analyses about the SPX , I spoke about a bottom of the index. The price was in the process of breaking the resistance when I created that post. De deciding factor was whether we could create new support out of old resistance, which is happening right now. First, the lower part of the zone was touched and made the price bounce. Now, we're witnissing...
According to our free indicator, Fetch Trends, Bitcoin is in a bull market. The weekly candle turned green for the first time in 60 weeks. The last time this happened was in may 2019, kicking off the bull market of 2019-2021. Before that one, Bitcoin turned green in Octobre 2015, which was at the start of the bull market of 2015- end of 2017. The first green...
This analysis isn't going to be very exciting. I just wanted to share that I think it is likely the SPX has found a bottom. We're still below resistance, but this is likely going to change soon, especially with the 3rd retest of the zone. I'm bullish on the stock market.
My last post discussed the final stages of the Bitcoin correction. In that analysis I was expecting the end stage of the correction of Bitcoin, mainly because it had served its days of the 65-daily cycle. Never did i expect the following events though. The course I expected was failry simple: - Bitcoin will find support on the horizontal line, and go sideways...
I'm bearish since Februari 21, mainly because of two simple reasons: - The price was rising for 51 days - Bitcoin touched the 200 weekly EMA, and horizontal support at the same price point. In my analysis of Februari 24, I expected Bitcoin to get a bounce or go sideways at the support zone of 22800 to 23200. At that point I wasn't really sure whether Bitcoin...
Ten days ago, I wrote about a correction of the SPX back the red support zone. Now the time has come to talk about what could happen next. The correction didn't happen in the beautiful fashion i had forseen, but this still works. What i expected was a clear zigzag formation within this falling channel, but we broke the support trendline and reached the first real...
In my previous analysis, I stated that it is likely to see a correction for Bitcoin because of two main reasons: - We're experiencing heavy horizontal resistance near 25k - The 200 weekly ma is at 25k, giving us confluence (double resistance in this case) Now that the correction has arrived, everything is going as planned. As you can see on the hourly chart,...
Bitcoin is facing heavy resistance which is coming from two sources: One is the horizontal resistance of 24 to 25k, and the other is the 200 weekly moving average. This means that there is confluence on the resistance side. Not only are we facing resistance, but this uptrend is already lasting for 53 days, making it likely its time for a correction. Why is this...
It looks like the SPX has topped out temporarily. This woudn't be too farfetched as the previous couple uptrends lasted for 34, 36, 21, 23, 40, and 33 days. Right now, we're looking at a top which has been formed after 28 days. From the looks of it, its trying to form a falling channel. The properties of this pattern are: - Declining parralel support and...
The Invesco QQQ Trust has had a good run up. What we're seeing now is a normal 5% pullback following a 20% gain. In the most bullish scenario, we've already seen the bottom of this correction. Prices have reached the first zone's support line, and we're already witnessing a tiny recovery on the lower timeframes. The most bullish case is still valid if we touch...
Ethereum was struggling to break the resistance of 1670USD. After the final rejection, the was finally rejected. Based on Fetch Trends, which used the rsi and 2 moving averages to calculate the colors, the uptrend is weakening. In my opinion, the uptrend is over. We're now expecting a drop back to the support zone of 1260 to 1360. Based on the performance of...
This chart could be a perfect example of why you should use caution when dealing with a volatile price chart. We’ve seen this with Bitcoin recently: The price goes up in a steady line, maybe in a parabolic fashion, before the trend weakens. A slowing down of a trend is not necessarily bad. For example: the price went up almost 30% between the first and the last...
I've been bearish on Bitcoin since 22500USD. Now that the price is breaking through structure, I'm convinced that Bitcoin has reached its local high. Why is the top in? The price went up for 34 days, which on average is half of a whole Bitcoin daily cycle. If we're lucky, the top will fall in the right half of the cycle, but this is too early to tell. We must...
Ethereum's uptrend is weakening. This is not unexpected given that we are already at a key point in the cycles of both Ethereum and Bitcoin. The previous two tops were discovered after 58 and 43 days, respectively, while Ethereum's local top was discovered after 61 days. Not only do we notice a daily cycle pattern, but Ethereum has also found resistance at the...
When i'm wrong, i'm usually wrong very quickly. My last analysis was invalidated within 24 hours, which is ok because now we know the direction for sure. Its important to know as to why this breakout is important. A structure, as long as 264 days has been broken. A broken structure leads to change! Usually a change in trend. That does not mean we're going to...
The SPX made a false breakout. A false breakout means that the price attempted to break out of a pattern, or break support/resistance. The attempt is successful for a short amount of time, before the price goes back to where it was. This usually is a reversal signal. For now i'm staying bearish, untill the price goes sideways or manages to break the resistance...
We've been bullish since 16k. Now that we're up 4 thousand dollars, which is 30% higher, its time to look at some points of ressistance. At this moment, Bitcoin is already at the top of a resistance zone. I think the market is waiting for tomorrow, since the SPX is also looking at a breakout/resistance. If the SPX can break its resistance, Bitcoin will follow....