FieryTrading

FieryTrading

Most altcoins have been underperforming BTC by quite a big margin over the last ~2 years. If you look at most alts, they are edging around the bear-market lows or trading slightly above it. A far cry from BTC's ~4x above the bear market low. The result of BTC's overperformance is the sharp rise in Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). As of last week, BTC.D has made a new...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a look at BTC's short-term price action: what can we expect over the next few days? As seen on the chart, the price is currently slightly reversing from the diagonal purple resistance. It's too early to call for a reversal, but we have to be cautious nevertheless. On the bottom you can see the RSI indicator flashing overbought....

FieryTrading

LINK has recently touched the bottom purple support again. After 4 touches, this support seems to be an important level for traders. To optimize our entry, we're going to wait for the price to touch the support again in the coming weeks. With a stop below the recent fear-low and a target around the current all-time high we can construct a very decently bullish...

FieryTrading

TAO has been forming a bullish head & shoulders pattern over the last couple of months. The pattern is still not complete, so be patient for it to complete. If you're confident that this pattern will play out and the market will reverse, take a look at the higher risk trade I put on the right. Tighter stop, so higher potential profit!

FieryTrading

This analysis is a follow-up on my previous ID post. As of this week, ID has successfully touched the bottom support and reversed from it. Too early to tell whether this is a long-term bottom, but at least the support held strong. If you were ever considering to buy ID, this is the time.

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a closer look at the state of the market. ATOM Was a decent performing token in the previous cycle, but it sadly failed to impress investors this cycle. Most striking is that ATOM is one of the few alts which has actually made a new bear-market low. This token has never entered a bullish phase like most tokens did and has basically...

FieryTrading

TON has seen some serious volatility as of late. The founder, the CEO of Telegram, recently got arrested in France, which send the token down. For investors who missed the boat before, this is a great chance to step in. TON has arguably the biggest app for communication behind it, so there's still room for growth once Telegram incorporates TON into it's...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a look at the BTC_ATHDRAWDOWN indicator, which tells us how much percent BTC is trading under the current all-time high. Every time that BTC makes a new all-time high this indicator reaches a value of 1. As seen on the chart, BTC has seen a lot of big drops during bull-markets. Most of these drops have reached the yellow area...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to come back to an analysis I made back in March and June this year. I talked about my Logarithmic Price Bands indicator and how it has successfully predicted a BTC top around in the yellow band. Over two months after the analysis, the price has fallen through the yellow price band again. It's looking like BTC is losing upward...

FieryTrading

Today I want to try something different. I want to talk about your most unpopular opinion, the kind of opinion that will get you a lot of 🤡 emoji's on here and other forums. This is your chance to share your widely unaccepted opinion. Most might disagree, but deep down you still know that you're right. Here are a few of mine that might rustle some leaves: -...

FieryTrading

In previous ETH analyses I talked about this huge 8 year wedge pattern on the ETH chart. Where my initial takes were bullish, we've seen a bearish break out as of last week. From a neutral point of view, this is 100% bad news. ETH will likely fall more and move towards the 1000$-1500$ area (yellow). Might be a hot take, but most alts have been performing...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to talk about a long-term parallel channel on TOTAL3, which is the total marketcap of all altcoins. Preface: before everyone gets offended etc, this is not my most likely scenario. Big chance that this pattern won't play out. Nevertheless, it's important to consider different market outcomes. Trading consists of IF>THEN decisions. Ask...

FieryTrading

The yield curve, which shows the difference between short-term and long-term interest rates on government bonds (US10Y-US02Y). In normal market conditions, this number should be positive because the interest that investors require on 10Y bonds is higher than the interest required on 2Y bonds. Interest is a value of risk perception. Higher risk of default means...

FieryTrading

SOL has been trading inside this triangle pattern since practically forever. I'm not calling for a bearish move here, I'm only sharing my view from where I will enter if we continue to go down. The bottom support has been holding on 4 seperate ocassions, my assumption is that it requires a lot of power to fall through, since bulls will be buying from...

FieryTrading

ETH has been trading inside this channel for over two years now. After the recent touch of the support, the support has solidified itself even further. Note that the support is a more clear-cut line, while the resistance is more an area. Another touch of the bottom support would potentially be great news for the bulls, hence the signal on the chart. Seeing that...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a look at the bullish channel that BTC has been trading in for around 3 weeks. The bottom support and top resistance are perfectly matchin price action, so my guess is that a lot of traders are looking at this set-up. I anticipate that BTC will reverse from this point. Unless the stock markets break down, the chart is clearly...

FieryTrading

In this analysis I want to take a closer look at Bitcoin's current bull-cycle and compare it with the previous cycles. I count from December 2011 onwards. As seen on the chart, the first cycle (yellow) is an outlier in both duration and growth. We will likely never experience something like that again. The most interesting cycles to compare the current cycle to...

FieryTrading

In this analysis we're going to take a look at TOTAL3, which is the total marketcap of crypto excluding BTC and ETH. In other words, all 'smaller' altcoins. As seen on the chart, the altcoin market has been in a dire state since the start of April, almost 5 months at this point. For now, the bearish channel pattern stays intact. I'm anticipating some kind of...