I continue to focus on structural moves on higher timeframes. This is another setup I identified, and here's a breakdown of how I derived my downside bias. FOREXCOM:CHFJPY has been in an uptrend since January 2023. It topped out on August 21st of this year. Price retests the high and fails to break higher. Just a day after price retests the daily high,...
Several Australia dollar pairs seem to have a daily reversal underway. Another pair, FOREXCOM:AUDCAD , recently saw a breakout as well. Price traded to as low as 0.8655 and then formed an upper range boundary at 0.8765. Earlier today, price breached this upper range boundary and managed to above it. Given this clean level breach and hold, I expect further upside ahead.
Similar to my EURAUD post, I see downside potential in the EURNZD pair as well. I plotted upper and lower boundaries of this daily range based on last week's prices. Earlier today, price sold off, crossing back below the 1.88293 lower level. Not only is this signalling that price is unable to hold back within the range, the bearish candle is also an engulfing...
Recently, I started focusing on structural moves off of higher timeframes. This signal on FOREXCOM:EURAUD looks great to me. Price traded in the range from 1.6811 to 1.7017. After a small pullback, today's 5 PM EST close indicates that price is unable to hold above the lower level. Given the runup that this pair has experienced, I expect greater downside payout...
The dollar index bottomed up, hitting February's low and failing to breach further. Across the board on all pairs, the Japanese yen is appearing very bearish. Over on USDJPY, there's a very clean horizontal channel breakout. This is utilizing a modified Darvas box system to swing continuation breakouts.
GBP double-topped and now is breaking below a daily neckline. 1.2381 is a key level. If price closes lower over the next day, I believe further downside is highly likely.
0.6922 is a key level I'm watching right now. CADCHF has been in a massive range since December 2022. Since then, price has failed to breach new lows. Our lower levels are moving higher and higher, which is a good indication that there is very little compelling selling pressure. As price testing the 0.6922 level, a strong breach above this level will be an...
Price sold off and bottomed out in December of last year. We're now seeing a reversal and a relative low being held supported. 1.088 is a key level I'm watching. If price is able to hold above this level, I see strong upside potential.
I'm currently eyeing a WTI breakout above the 82 level. As price teased around this level, we can see that selling pressure is levelling off. January 18th was a relative low and January 25th was another relative low. But January 25th was a higher low, which is another indication that selling strength is not as strong as before.
I believe there's some upside potential to NZDUSD. Although the DXY has leveled off, indicating that the US dollar has finished selling off, NZD remains rather bullish. As long as it holds above the daily level at 0.64705, I believe there's strong upside potential.
I think the long potential on GBPUSD is quite strong. The DXY has been trending downwards for the past couple of weeks. This was contributed by similar patterns across all major pairs pegged against the US dollar. However, 1.2242 is a daily level that GBPUSD has breached. In my opinion, this pair has a lot more upside potential to trend higher.
Over on the daily timeframe, price tested the 104.615 support level. Price hit this level and then stabilized. However, this was short lived. As price is breaching below the 104.615 daily level, I am expecting further downside ahead.
The 1.3677 was a key level I was watching. Now that price broke below this level, further downside is likely, especially when price retraced back to this level and failed to trade above it. It's also a good idea to watch the broader US dollar index to monitor strength.
After price failed to make a new lower low this morning at 4 AM, the downtrend appears to be coming to an end. Now that price breached the neckline and sustained the breakout, I am anticipating further upside for the next few days.
I'm monitoring this pair for now for a few key reasons: US dollar index is now bearish as it fails to make a new higher high. The lower high has peaked. On the daily timeframe, there's an engulfing bearish bar after a strong rally to the upside. This indicates that buying volume has thinned out. I'm watching for price to break through a floor for further...
This pair has been whipsawing between two extremes since early 2021. Most recently, we're seeing a clean breakout above the 0.86785 level. We're anticipating that price will hold above this upper range boundary and continue trending higher. Of course, this breakout will be invalidated if price crosses back below this level. Unless there is some kind of...
On September 1st, gold touched the previous low at 1,692.50. Price approached this level again on September 7th and failed to breach significantly lower. The strong reaction represented by the large bullish bar is a sign that there is buying pressure. Demand is potentially there. I think there will be a clearer indication of this once price breaches above the...
Standard neckline breakout trade. This is on the intraday level so I'm not looking to ride out a big move. Not really a scalp, but more so to capitalize on the short term momentum.