FinkPro

FinkPro

Right, a bit of a congested chart... In white, we have $XLF, purple, the US unemployment rate, orange is the European bank index and in yellow, we have the effective Fed Funds rate (US interest rate). Recent rhetoric from the Fed has been pretty dovish, and we have had a pause in hiking rates, with there likely to be absolutely no hike this year. If an economy...

FinkPro

In blue, we have Eurodollar futures inverted... This pretty much reflects LIBOR... What are we seeing? Well, as US rate hike expectations hit their peak (there is now minimal chance of a hike in 2019 and 2020 hike chances are decreasing), we are seeing a reaction in Bitcoin... This started back in December, but I really needed a full quarter to see if it were...

FinkPro

Doji candle has shown some indecision before pushing down and breaking a key past support price. The context of price here is key. Since we know that a decision has been made here that has pushed price out of a range value, we know that a return to this zone is going to have a fair amount of supply resting here. Fundamentally, we have to keep the Fed's balance...

FinkPro

This is a Wyckoff topping pattern. We are going to unwind the move that led to the rally in EUR vs Sterling. Brexit fears have been price in on the most part, and the Eurozone is looking pretty weak, if not for the ECB propping up the currency with QE still. I do not think this propping up will end, either.

FinkPro

This is the biggest bullish sign for me since we have been down from the highs. The inside day failure has a very high success rate of bullishness. Also remember that CME BTC futures expire tomorrow... CBOE BTC futures last Wednesday caused a reasonable bounce, so look for longs on the NY open.

FinkPro

Simple technical play here based on order accumulation.

FinkPro

Again, my strategy.

FinkPro Updated 

This is my strategy. Selling a bear trap into supply back down to a large demand zone.

FinkPro Updated 

Last week I noticed a bounce in BTC (and altcoin) spot markets on expiry of CBOE futures. Essentially, large players are using the futures market to hedge their underlying spot position. As long as there is a contango (futures price trades at a premium to spot), there's a valid hedge opportunity on any price drop. This means that if a large player is long a...

FinkPro

We've returned to the yearly low zone where buying was found last Wednesday (BTC futures settlement which could have an effect on XRP due to correlations). This Friday we also have the CME settlement. We will see more contracts expire, which could lead to greater BTC buying now the monthly hedge is complete. In my view, I'm seeing a move to about $2.40 on XRP....

FinkPro

Cause and effect. That's all that you really need to know. Always ask yourself, 'which area started the move that caused a long term key level to break?' What is this important? Because it shows a clear supply and demand imbalance at that price. It shows that there is interest at this specific zone, at which, there is likely to be unfilled pending orders, as...

FinkPro

I'm targeting 80.00 here. Essentially, we are going to reverse the bullish move made by the ending of QE in 2014 (not the rolling over of assets though). This is a simple fundamental play, which can also be backed up by the heavy break of support at 91/92. We should see the Euro push up further from here as dollar hedging costs have increased drastically, which...

FinkPro

Market moved into value tail. Market always wants to get back to value area to be able to initiate further moves. Weekend fear of NK subsided so would expect move off current support where Wyckoff bottom has been established. Intra week I remain bearish, however.