Base Case: If BTC maintains current levels, we see a repeat of the 2021 cycle top, following a Wyckoff distribution pattern. In this scenario, we estimate that we are about halfway through the topping process, historically signaling a major altcoin rotation. Similar past setups saw ETH appreciate 2-3x, while other large and small caps rallied 2-4x. This has been...
Upside Case: If BTC fails to hold current support, dips into the low $90K – high $80K range, and clears out sell-side liquidity, it could trigger an extended upside move - potentially resembling the January 2021 breakout and finishing with a parabolic 2017 style blow-off top.
Here is an idea with the price action of BTC > ETH > LTC during the last cycle as it relates to out recent cases on BTC.
BTC's topping structure looks a lot like its topping structure in the 2021 cycle. I still think there’s a chance we go higher from here, but this is just interesting to look at.
Here’s an idea of how the Russell could play out during the first half of 2025, with continued profit-taking from large caps into small caps.
"Playout chart of NQ vs. TOTAL 3 over the past few years, highlighting periods of market expansion, cooling phases, and corrections.
TOTAL consolidation idea before final leg in the crypto rally.
New Idea - Triangle within a Triangle. Recent liquidation broke the old idea.
The ETH > BTC rotation from the last cycle shows the same dynamic playing out again as BTC tops out.
Now that we got the first correction on the next leg, we can get a better idea of price targets for XRP.
As crazy as it sounds, 35% drops are part of the game.
The end for BTC and the beginning of the great rotation. Targeting 40% representing 800B in capital flows at the current market cap.
Should this pattern hold, we could see the altcoin market targeting full Fibonacci extensions, potentially ripping to all-time highs and pushing the market toward a $1 trillion valuation this cycle. Momentum is building as liquidity returns to the crypto markets, with growing retail interest and institutional capital eyeing opportunities in diverse altcoin...
The altcoin market is eyeing a significant breakout, currently consolidating between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels. Historically, a decisive move through this zone often precedes explosive rallies. Should this pattern hold, we could see the altcoin market targeting full Fibonacci extensions, potentially ripping to all-time highs and pushing the...
We rejected off the golden zone. If we are going to be bullish on risk-on assets, we need to see this remain in a downtrend, as it historically has an inverse relationship with markets like crypto.
Will we see a shift in risk in markets leading to a breakdown in gold?
The continued profit-taking from big tech & large caps is rotating, with anticipated capital continuing to rotate into small caps. This will create a more risk-on market, which will be bullish for crypto.
I told myself I would never post a meme coin technical analysis on here, but I am doing it. Since the Trump meme coin project, many meme projects have completely died. Here is a derivatives play spin-off from SPX6900, currently at 1B+ market cap. This project has gone through a lot and is still holding up stronger than most projects out there. I think ETH is going...