


ICP dominance against the altcoin market is showing strength. ICP is outperforming other altcoins.
While the spotlight often shifts to short-term price action, Ethereum (ETH) is laying the groundwork for structural expansion that could surprise even seasoned investors.
Idea on how we finish the cycle for BTC and where I think we’ll see the top for BTC and TOTAL3 (altcoins).
TOTAL3 Echoes 2017 BTC Fractal Momentum Building The current price action on TOTAL3 (Total Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH) mirrors a compelling fractal BTC’s parabolic move from Dec 2016 to July 2017. Back then, Bitcoin surged from $890 to $2,900, a +225% rally that set the stage for a full-blown bull cycle. Today, TOTAL3 sits just above the 1T mark,...
All the important events in BTC during the cycle and times of bottoms, highs ahead of the next leg higher.
Bitcoin (2024–2025) is tracing a structure similar to the Russell 2000 (2017–2018). On the slide: BTC on top, RUT below - both showing near-identical consolidation patterns just before a major breakout. Both periods were marked by macro stress: • 2018 + 2025: Trump tariffs + rising global trade friction Back in 2018, RYY rallied 22% into a blow-off top,...
BTC is set for a parabolic push, leading to a blow-off top rally reminiscent of 2017. ALTs will follow. This rally will surpass previous ones, fueled by a global race among nations to acquire BTC. The dominant narrative will be: Get in before governments do. It will be an all-out sprint, but once the cycle top is reached, the true bear market will...
Russell is at the bottom following the tariff news—expect a rotational rally to follow. This will likely fuel the crypto markets.
Base Case: If BTC maintains current levels, we see a repeat of the 2021 cycle top, following a Wyckoff distribution pattern. In this scenario, we estimate that we are about halfway through the topping process, historically signaling a major altcoin rotation. Similar past setups saw ETH appreciate 2-3x, while other large and small caps rallied 2-4x. This has been...
Upside Case: If BTC fails to hold current support, dips into the low $90K – high $80K range, and clears out sell-side liquidity, it could trigger an extended upside move - potentially resembling the January 2021 breakout and finishing with a parabolic 2017 style blow-off top.
Here is an idea with the price action of BTC > ETH > LTC during the last cycle as it relates to out recent cases on BTC.
BTC's topping structure looks a lot like its topping structure in the 2021 cycle. I still think there’s a chance we go higher from here, but this is just interesting to look at.
Here’s an idea of how the Russell could play out during the first half of 2025, with continued profit-taking from large caps into small caps.
"Playout chart of NQ vs. TOTAL 3 over the past few years, highlighting periods of market expansion, cooling phases, and corrections.
TOTAL consolidation idea before final leg in the crypto rally.
New Idea - Triangle within a Triangle. Recent liquidation broke the old idea.
The ETH > BTC rotation from the last cycle shows the same dynamic playing out again as BTC tops out.
Now that we got the first correction on the next leg, we can get a better idea of price targets for XRP.