M3 contains more asset classes than M2. So, to find the signs to bubble, in a point of historical view, it might be better, to compare value of equities with M3. Therefore you see below, what it means. Market crisis/crashes are marked. The differences from 2007/08 to others: there we had an Interbanken problem: no one trusted each other and was not willing to...
How to read the Chart? SPX in main picture an below - with own scales- you find the Put/Call Ratio and and bottom the VIX. Put/call Ratio tells us, how much euphoric is in the market. Values below 0.65 , market is bullish. VIX tells us, how much volatilty is in the market. Values below 13 tells us normally, that market is prepared for larger or bigger movements....
How to read the chart? In the historical point of view, the ratio between the DAX und S&P 500 is swinging in significant boundaries. This boundaries are signed in the Chart with red dashed lines above or below a center line (average). What you also can see, is the developement of DAX and S&P500 in EUR resp. USD with separate scales. Where is the beef? The...
The chart shows the development between the Money supply of the USA M2 versus the prices of the Standard & Poors 500 an also the small and short recessions we had. Naturally, also the foreign holders of SPX equities, with their money the switch in USD were responsible for higher SPX prices. Neverthenless, the chart shows over the years a high coincidence between...
SPX has done an unbelievable Performance in the last years. The Index was driven by large and successfull companies and also bei smaller ones. By comparing the russell2000, small one began to weaken. Why, cause competition from China, India etc. hits them hars. And: we saw three small correction, but not in the character of consolidations. time was to short...
Sector software overflys the semiconductor sector in the last months. Oracle still as one of the biggest market leader. But salesforcea (CRM) on track and very strong in second place relative to Oracle since 2020 and also since 2024. Very impressive: company with very high earnings stability. Management top, Benioff CEO since years, knows business from beginning...
One of the strongest title in the subindex Dow Jones US Software. Stronger is only Oracle which is overrated. But main thing: Software subindex meanwhile stronger than semiconductor sector. Salesforce now built also wonderfull cup and handle Formation, with very good correction conditions, maybe 10% but much more potential towards 520 USD Strong buy at 367...
blue: SPX orange: SPX divided by Yield 30YUS Treasuries. Second pan red: absolut Yield 30Y US Treasuries Comparing SPX with the US-30YTreasuriey Yield something special on the way. Never before we saw such a strong rising of the Yield. More than 4% in short time and SPX did only a correction of 25%. Naturally: Yield Curve now is descending and everyone is...
orange: SPX blue: SPX divided by Yield 30YUS Treasuries. Second pan organe: absolut Yield 30Y US Treasuries Comparing SPX with the US-30YTreasuriey Yield something special on the way. Never before we saw such a strong rising of the Yield. More than 4% in short time and SPX did only a correction of 25%. Naturally: Yield Curve now is descending and everyone is...
After Sharp decline due to several reasons (mainly leaded by COVID) the main German Index dis an impressive revovery. But not supported in many factors, even no evident fundamental reasons. German Industries still fighting with strong energy prices, lower produstion in automobiles/automotives with strongest contest to chinese markets. All in all: Expect near...
at last: Newcrest now out of falling wedge. Wonderfull On Balanced Volume. Now, up to old highs- roundabout 40 Aussie Dollars.
Breakt-out from falling wedge would be the trigger. Together with hangig man as a strong sell signal will put the DAX down. Expect 13100 as a first target. Flyerdan
Not really amazing last years, but the company seems to take a solid consolisation time. Maybe setback by 15%, but overall for years very nice.
Dax did some very sharp moves, but major decicision where made. Seems that we go up a little bit more, afterwards I guess some days small range up/down, afterwards down again. Let me no your opinion. 22/11/14/Dan
Maybe last moves up, up to 80-85 usd/barrel, then down to 60-65
Expect wash-out around 75-85 USD. There, interesting zone for sharp recovery round about 50%. Wailt for further correction, till min 85 USD.
After a long period with ups & downs, the situation seems know clear. A few more weeks until Silver will do the break. I' will take position Weekly closing above 22.80 USD
What you see is what you get. Expect setback around 4-8%. Afterwards rising prices. There must be insider knowledge which will be soon reach the normal one. Together with rising silver prices , very strong buy.