The recovery of the US dollar is accelerating as market sentiment fades. The Yen is on the defensive with the hope that the BoJ will keep its extremely accommodative policy unchanged. Markets are quiet today, with US markets closed for a bank holiday. The pair has recovered most of the ground lost on Friday, reaching intraday highs near 146.00. The dollar seems to...
The WTI oil price has surpassed $73 as investors exercise caution amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Concerns about potential new attacks by Iran-backed Houthi rebels on commercial shipments in the Red Sea, including U.S. vessels, are contributing to a perception of tightness in the oil supply. However, softer economic data from China in the third...
The EUR/USD pair is descending towards 1.0900, with the US dollar rising for the fourth consecutive day, influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite hawkish comments from the ECB, the euro is struggling to gain ground. If the EUR/USD breaks the 2024 low at 1.0892, it may test the 200-day SMA at 1.0847. Below this level, further declines could...
Currently, the US dollar is gaining ground, benefiting from a weaker market sentiment. Oil prices are trading lower, exerting negative pressure on the Canadian dollar (CAD). Later today, we hope that Canada's business outlook and manufacturing sales can provide some support to the Canadian dollar. On this Monday, the Canadian dollar is showing a mixed performance...
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Gold prices continue to rise for the third consecutive day on Monday, reaching around $2,055 per troy ounce. The upward movement is attributed to the risk aversion stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Immediate resistance is observed at the January 5 high of $2,060, with static resistance at $2,080 to be tested if surpassed. Sustained upbeat...
The EUR/USD exchange rate rose above 1.0950 and erased its daily losses in the early American session on Friday. Data from the United States revealed that the monthly Core PPI remained unchanged in December for the third consecutive month, exerting pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and assisting the pair in moving higher. The pair held steady above 1.0950 on Friday...
Analyzing the BTC/USD scenario reveals an expansion of the bearish phase with a test of support at 40,980. The initial resistance is at 45,465, but expectations suggest the possibility of an extension of the negative trend towards new lows at 39,485. From a daily volatility perspective, the cryptocurrency shows a value of 2.79%, with a weekly performance...
The analysis of GBP/USD reveals a dynamic interplay of factors influencing the currency pair. The British Pound (GBP) has strengthened against the US Dollar (USD), recovering from a decline to 1.2700 and surpassing 1.2750. This recovery is linked to challenges the USD faces in generating demand during the American session, partly influenced by softer-than-expected...
The price of gold gained bullish momentum, reaching a new weekly high above $2,050. Escalating geopolitical tensions and declining US Treasury bond yields, driven by soft producer inflation data from the United States, fueled the XAU/USD rally ahead of the weekend. Continued buying would negate any short-term negative outlook and set the stage for a move towards...
Analysis of the EUR/USD Situation: Current Situation and Support/Resistance Levels: EUR/USD remains in a positive position, below the 1.1000 threshold. Key support and resistance levels to consider are: Support: If EUR/USD falls below the 2024 low of 1.0876, it could approach the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0846. Breaking this level might lead to...
The analysis of the US oil market (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) presents an intriguing scenario. Currently, the WTI price is recovering from recent losses, trading around $72.33 per barrel. This rise in oil prices is driven by concerns about potential supply disruptions following recent events, where Yemen's Houthis have questioned the UN resolution on Red Sea...
The analysis of the USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen) exchange rate is based on several key aspects: US Inflation and CPI: The increase in US inflation in December (3.4% against the expected 3.2%) signals a strong economy and reduces the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, favoring the US dollar. US Unemployment Insurance Claims:...
The USD/CAD pair is facing selling pressure for the second consecutive day, moving away from a near four-week high around the 1.3415 region, reached on Tuesday. Currently, spot prices are hovering around the 1.3365-1.3360 area, down just over 0.10% for the day. Traders are now awaiting the latest US consumer inflation figures for further momentum. The upcoming US...
Analyzing XAU/USD, we can outline a detailed picture of the current situation and future prospects: Current Situation: Gold is struggling to make a decisive move in any specific direction mid-week. After rising above $2,030, gold lost momentum and retreated towards $2,020. The markets are awaiting the outcome of the 10-year US Treasury note auction. Macro...
Economic and Political Context: Market Sentiment: The GBP/USD exhibits a positive trend above 1.2700 during Wednesday's European session, bolstered by an improvement in market sentiment and renewed weakness in the US Dollar. Influence of Bank of England (BoE) Policy: BoE Governor Andrew Bailey is expected to defend the decision to tighten policy to combat...
Current Trading Range: The EUR/USD pair has been traded within a narrow range, roughly between 1.0930 and 1.0925. This suggests a consolidation phase following recent movements. Impact of Upcoming CPI Data: The market is anticipating the forthcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Scheduled for release on Thursday, these figures might significantly influence...
The Nasdaq shows a significant rise in today's trading session. At the time of writing, the index has gained 460 points from the January 5th low. I've drawn two Fibonacci retracements to identify two potential areas: a bounce at the 0.62 Fibonacci level, illustrated in the chart, and a possible price reaction. Mainly, I expect a decline in the index tomorrow in...