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EURUSD at long term 61.8% retracement
EURUSD
, 1W
Short
EURUSD: EURUSD at long term 61.8% retracement

Intraday Update: The EURUSD as noted earlier, is trading at 1.0200 and slightly below now, but this is a long term 61.8% Fibonacci level of the Sept 2022 lows to July 2023 highs. Intraday, only back above the 1.0230 would take the downside pressure off. Also, over 3bn options are expiring today at the 1.0200 level.

EURGBP break higher has stalled.
EURGBP
, 1D
Long
EURGBP: EURGBP break higher has stalled.

Intraday Update: The EURGBP has stalled at the 38% retracement of the Aug highs to Dec lows. Also, the 161% ext of the last move lower has held as resistance after coming out of the descending wedge. While below the .8400 level we'd expect dips to be bought back at the .8325 level.

USD completing wave 5
DXY
, 1D
DXY: USD completing wave 5

US Dollar index hit the long term 61.8% retracement at 108.95. This could be the wave 5 completion, which may be a big resistance for the US Dollar to start the year.

USDMXN challenging key resistance
USDMXN
, 240
Short
USDMXN: USDMXN challenging key resistance

Intraday Update: The USDMXN is at 20.61, which is the underside of the broken channel trend line. This should offer resistance as the pair is up over 1.4% today.

EURUSD may squeeze towards 1.0525
EURUSD
, 240
Long
EURUSD: EURUSD may squeeze towards 1.0525

Intraday Update: EURUSD is at the 38% retracement, and has also broken the descending trend line. A break of the 1.0455 level would put the 1.0525 level in play.

EURUSD testing some key resistance at EOY
EURUSD
, 240
Long
EURUSD: EURUSD testing some key resistance at EOY

Intraday Update: The EURUSD is testing the 1.0450 level resistance , which is near the 38% retracement and also a descending trend line. If end of year flows start to pick up with US dollar selling, the EURUSD could reach above 1.0500 in the days ahead.

EURGBP at wedge resistance
EURGBP
, 1D
Short
EURGBP: EURGBP at wedge resistance

Intraday Update: The EURGBP is nearing wedge resistance and also the 50dma which should be very strong resistance near the .8315 level.

S&P should trade towards 5700 now.
SPX500USD
, 240
Short
SPX500USD: S&P should trade towards 5700 now.

Intraday Update: The SPX breakdown should target an equal leg move towards the 5700 level, especially given that the bounce was a shallow 38% retrace this week at 5948.

USDJPY breaks higher post BOJ meeting
USDJPY
, 1D
Long
USDJPY: USDJPY breaks higher post BOJ meeting

Intraday Update: The USDJPY continued to break higher following the BOJ press conference as the BOJ dovishness (and FOMC "hawkish cut") has caused an upside breakout. Above the 157.37 would put the 159.12 127% extension in view.

US Dollar pushing resistance ahead of the FOMC
DXY
, 60
DXY: US Dollar pushing resistance ahead of the FOMC

Intraday Update: The DXY pushed to recent highs at 107.20 and bias chart resistance ahead of the FOMC. Today, this will be a key breakout point for the US Dollar post FOMC.

EURUSD breaking lower ahead of the FOMC
EURUSD
, 240
EURUSD: EURUSD breaking lower ahead of the FOMC

Intraday Update: Ahead of the FOMC the EURUSD is trying to break the triangle consolidation to the downside, next support at 1.0450.

GBPNZD reaching for the 127% extension on the breakout.
GBPNZD
, 240
Long
GBPNZD: GBPNZD reaching for the 127% extension on the breakout.

Intraday Update: The GBPNZD came very close to reaching the 127% extension of the July highs to August lows at 2.2214, intraday RSI's are overbought which is a risk for bulls near term. Bull flag is still in tact while above 2.1850.

GBPUSD set for a short squeeze!
GBPUSD
, 240
Long
GBPUSD: GBPUSD set for a short squeeze!

Intraday Update: The UK strong employment data is allowing for a move higher in the GBPUSD today, and the 1.2712 is the 50% retracement, also previous support at 1.2713 on Dec 11th. A break of this level could accelerate a short squeeze higher.

Ascending wedge developing for USDJPY
USDJPY
, 240
Short
USDJPY: Ascending wedge developing for USDJPY

Intraday Update: The USDJPY is finding support at the ascending wedge support, but a break of the 153.60 level would be a near term bearish event.

USDCAD may suggest reversal
USDCAD
, 240
Short
USDCAD: USDCAD may suggest reversal

Intraday Update: Following the US Data, the USDCAD almost hit the 161% extension of the Aug highs to Sept lows at 1.4281 as the intraday RSI continues to divergent. A quick 30 pip reversal is a risk for bulls back to the 1.4200 level.

USDJPY has reached key resistance
USDJPY
, 240
USDJPY: USDJPY has reached key resistance

Intraday Update: The USDJPY has bounced back to the 38% retracement of the Nov 14th high to Dec 3rd low. The 152.00 level has been a massive pivot since Oct 2022, so the 151.80 level (38%) may offer strong resistance (or just above) today.

AUDUSD had a massive reaction from support
AUDUSD
, 1D
Long
AUDUSD: AUDUSD had a massive reaction from support

Intraday Update: AUDUSD has had a MASSIVE response from the 2022 trend line (thanks to overnight China comments) which suggests that the sub .6400 level is critical into year end.

CAD continues to fall
USDCAD
, 240
USDCAD: CAD continues to fall

Intraday Update: Following the NFP and Canadian jobs report, the USDCAD is at the 78% retracement. The unemployment rate in Canada has sent the CAD reeling lower and could test the 141.80/1.4200 level if the US Dollar continues to recover today.

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