Unlike last week, I actually had an hour everyday to watch the markets this week; which worked out for the best because it put me into scalper mode instead of swing trader mode. In what little time I had to trade, I noticed the scalper range on USD/JPY and just set my orders accordingly. Granted, I didn't catch the whole range but 60 pips x 3 = +180 pips is...
I'm going to be completely honest, I didn't have time to watch the markets at all this week. I literally just opened my charts right now, for the first time this week. So keep that in mind when you're reading this week's analysis. PS: It's a busy time in my personal life right now, I won't go into details but things won't settle down until the end of October ish....
I'm keeping it short this week because I don't see many opportunities right now. Nothing clear cut anyways. One of my trading rules is "when in doubt, don't trade" so I'm going to stick to that. Plus, I'm pretty sure you guys would appreciate if I simply said "I don't know" rather than make up some bullshit. *****INTERESTING PAIRS***** EUR/USD - Nothing's...
*****INTERESTING PAIRS***** EUR/USD - "It depends on where price is" - See the trade analysis I posted yesterday: - Current price doesn't not warrant any new positions - BEAR: I'd consider opening shorts between 1.30/1.31 (stops above 1.31) - BULL: I'd consider opening longs between 1.28/1.275 (stops below 1.275) --------- GBP/USD - Bullish (Pending longs...
Hello TradingView, Given the waterfall move (bloodshed) on EUR/USD this week due to ECB's decision, I got multiple requests to post a detailed trade analysis on what I did. So here it is but don't expect this to happen often (or at all). Financial Trading School (my other website) is intended for a newbie audience but my Forex Weekly Analysis has always been...
Hello TradingView! I just got back from a very relaxing and much needed break, I hope everyone had an enjoyable August as well. So let's get started on this week's General Market Outlook! ------------------------------------------------- Interesting Pairs: EUR/USD - Bullish - If price doesn't gap up at market open today, I'm probably going to open a few...
- Check the comments of last week's analysis to find out what happened with my trades - Reminder: This is the last analysis for this summer, the next one will come out when I get back from my trip (end of August). - As such, all open positions were closed on Friday and no new orders were placed. ------------------------------------------------- ***** Usually I...
Reminder: Next week will be the last analysis for this summer, then I'll be back on the last Sat/Sunday of August to post again. ------------------------------------------------- Interesting Pairs: AUD/USD - Bearish - Price did move down to test the 0.9325 level as expected but I didn't bother to take the trade (would've been +50 pips if I did) - Moving...
Opening Remarks: This is primarily for my new (TradingView) followers but for those of you who have been following my Forex Weekly Analysis since July 2011, you'll recall that I take 2 months off every year, August and December: - I take August off because it's the end of the summer, trading usually slows down considerably. - I take December off because it's...
Interesting Pairs: GBP/USD - Bearish - I really thought the 1.71 level would've held but I was wrong and lost 20 pips on the news spike on Tuesday. - The next level of interest was 1.718X (161.8% fib level). Price has gotten close but hasn't touched my level yet. - I'm still bearish on the pair, the longer this bull run lasts, the more stretched it'll appear. -...
Interesting Pairs: EUR/USD - Bearish - Despite my confusing view from last week, I think the 1.367X level will be an interesting level to short this week. Use tight stops though. From last week: Long term - I see a potential bearish flag on the chart, which signals continuation drop is coming? Short term - A retrace wouldn't be out of the question for a healthy...
Note: I got rid of NZD/USD and USD/CHF. NZD/USD pretty much correlates with AUD/USD while USD/CHF correlates with EUR/USD, so I figured it was redundant to analyze both pairs. ------------------------------------------------- Interesting Pairs: AUD/USD - Bearish - Price tested the broken trend line last week and bounced down - Price retested the same price...
Since today didn't pan out the way I expected, I'm posting an updated outlook faster than I normally would. If my current positions are stopped out again, you can expect another outlook posted tomorrow or the day after instead of next week. - USD strength seen across the board is making it hard for my analysis to pan out. - Two of my positions got stopped out...
Interesting Pairs: EUR/USD - Bullish - Filled my 1.3620 buy limit on Friday and exited this morning at 1.3660 for 40 pips - Just filled another 1.3620 buy limit today, waiting to see what happens now. - It should be noted that this play is fairly risky because this is effectively the retrace move, which doesn't always happen. GBP/USD - Bullish - We're...
Interesting Pairs: AUD/USD - Bullish - Possible long entry in the 0.920X/0.918X region - Round support level of 0.9200 - Tip of the wick from the bounce last time EUR/USD - Bullish - Possible long entry in the 1.362X/4X region - Tip of the wick from last week and yesterday NZD/USD - Bullish - Possible long entry in the 0.852X/0.850X region - Bottom of the...
Interesting Pairs: EUR/USD - Bullish - Thursday had a bullish hammer pinbar - Price bounced off 1.364X support level USD/JPY - Bearish - Price closed below the long term upward trend line - Price also closed below bottom channel line as...
USD/CAD - Disclosure: Currently holding a long from 1.0830 - Price ignored the 1.0857 level, which was kind of expected considering the lower highs. I was expecting to see lower lows, which is why I entered my long at 1.0830 (first trend line). - The bounce was mainly driven by data release (bad CAD employment data) so the move up was pretty strong/fast. - Moving...
EUR/USD - Disclosure: Currently holding a short from 1.3980 - In my previous General Market Outlook, I mentioned that EUR/USD had an overall short bias in the short, mid and long term. I also mentioned it wasn't the time to enter yet. I personally waited until the mid to high 1.39XX's to start shorting. - During Draghi's speech last week, price initially spiked up...