Bitcoin vs Physical Silver gives a calmer view of bitcoin value increase. It follows a repeating trend of bitcoin supply halving (yellow), followed by supply shock run-up to correct value (orange circles). Each halving has consisted of 3 phases (blue) we are entering the breakout price discovery phase, with potential 15x return against silver.
Btc vs xau could drop with the orange line to consolidate on the giant triangle around 0.168 fib before breaking out.
Yes this is crazy, but these relevant numbers are reflected in the chart as timeframes and value supports. They are not fib levels that I know of, they are human only levels. This may be a case of group-think, but for me it is more likely a loose orginisation of wealthy investors who are using the levels intervals to increase their bitcoin positions. Note: this...
The whole number effect is evident here, see orange circles. With a commodity in price discovery mode every four years, every four years traders sell bitcoin gains for whole portions of gold. I would say if someone hodled 1 bitcoin through a three year crypto winter, then suddenly it was worth 1kg of pure gold, they might be tempted to do the same. This informs...
I've been looking at this long enough to know nothing is for sure. This chart is to show where I think bitcoin is heading.
Now I've been over enthusiastic in the past, and have now been following the charts since before 2017. That said, I'm full of enthusiasm again, and would like to think all of the corporate interest will lead to world governments treasury interest, and make this prediction correct.
There is a correlation I see that would have proven profitable, when back-tested. So may do moving forward. Using week view and 9bar EMA, and 9bar MA. The bars cross at relevant times to prevent great loss, and to achieve excellent gains. Noted, MA and EMA are lagging indicators so not 100% ideal. I highlighted most relevant profit, loss zones. Now in a buy zone.
Re framing is complete, original acceleration has reclaimed stability, grind up possible but break up seems most likely.
If this chart breaks up, I believe btc will be the better performer in theses ‘uncertain times’
Compare our current price pattern with this 2017 movement, tracking suggests a last big drop is ready to hit, buy the dip.
Based purely on previous chart volatility patterns, the level of upcoming volatility is estimated, and the trend arch is extended with this volatility in incorporated, the chart is scaled logarithmic.