Gold tested the key transition area of 1200 today and got rejected slightly. This is still the key area we have to watch here, as a hard rejection could send us to a lower low, but a strong break could launch us to a higher high than 2016. The next few days should be very telling for gold going forward. (there is still bullish divergence in the RSI)
So I didn't sell any of my $54 oil shorts today when it rebounded, I just moved my stop to break-even. Today we saw a major miss in inventories, which was initially bearish, but was somehow bullish? I'm still short because of the numerous reports that essentially the OPEC "cut" is garbage, and on top of that oil inventories are growing, while demand remains...
Continued idea from previous. 1 - The current trendline looks to be tested within the next few days, look for a bounce (long), or a break (add short). 2 - This red horizontal bar is around the $52 area (key transition area), it broke today, and closing below it over the next few days will be a good sign for shorts. 3 - Most big players got out December 30th,...
Bear divergence, overproduced, OPEC deal won't last, etc. I believe this will go to sub 50 levels. I shorted today at $54.05, and will be adding to my short position around $52.
Although platinum is considered a safe haven, it also thrives in a productive economy. This gives it a great chance to do well during 2017, as people will turn to precious metals during times of uncertainty (which there will be a lot of in 2017), and with Trump wanting to spend like crazy on industrials (emissions control amongst other uses), this could propel...
Continued idea from before. For some reason there is a delusional expectation that the USD will rally due to Trump and "interest rates". I strongly believe it will fall during 2017. Strong bear divergence in the RSI, as well as the fact that the RSI has rolled over.
Gold seems to be itching to retest an area that was important for transition during 2016. I am still long in miners, and it has been clear over the past week that gold has broken it's downward trend. Depending on how my natgas trade plays out over this week, I will be taking my profits from that trade and buying any dips in gold.
Short NATGAS based on warmer weather projections (builds in inventory), and bear divergence in RSI.
I have been long miners since November 14th, and am currently only down a few percent. I am by no means a scalper, so keep that in mind when you view this idea. There is a strong bull RSI divergence on the 1W chart, as illustrated above. (the divergence from the 1D chart is still there, however I am taking a step back with this idea). I think we have almost...
Trend line broken on the 1D, look for a close above 1140 today to confirm break.
Long silver to $25. Bull divergence on the RSI. Silver is both an industrial metal, as well as safe haven.
$1300 area in 2017 as Fed will not raise rates, and Trump will spend on industrials. (Also bull divergence on RSI) Platinum will take off as it is both a safe haven and is used industrially.
There is a strong bear divergence on the 1W and 1D DXY chart. I believe during 2017, the DXY will fall to the low 80's. I base this not only off the bear divergence illustrated above, but my strong doubt that the Fed will raise rates during 2017, and that the US economy will continue to slow.
I believe there is currently a strong bullish divergence in the RSI and MACD. My TP is 1250$, and I will re-evaluate gold when/if we get to that level. We are currently making higher lows in both the MACD and RSI (while the price decreases), which leads me to believe we will see a strong up move in the following days. My advice is to avoid listening to the gold...
We are currently trading in a very strong bull channel. My long position was supported today when bounced very sharply from the 1286 level, and the MACD is about to cross. My expectation for the NFP is that they will miss, and we will see 130-150K jobs added in October (which the fed will justify is still enough to raise). However we are clearly in a bull-trend...
We are currently in a strong bull channel for silver, leading towards $20. I still believe silver will be the stronger performing PM by % over the next few months. Although we ended in the red today, the fact that there was such strong support at the $18 level is a very good sign for bulls. MACD is looking to cross here on the 1D.
I believe a double bottom has formed at the 22.50 level. This could lead to a potential boost to 26 over the next few weeks. We have seen a nice bounce off this level in the second week of October, and have been progressing well a long the daily bullish trend-line. Unfortunately, miner equities and ETF's have been selling off with the recent equity sell-off, and...
Roughly trading on the same trend lines as gold. I am personally long from 3.43 - 2.97 - 2.89 (in that order) Avg. Cost 3.23, SL 3.43, TP 4.75 BTO.TO dropped significantly (roughly 12%) in late September due to a administrative audit (pretty much BS, and nothing will come from it as mining production in this area has not been hampered), and has a lot of room to...