I see two trendlines that could take place. A bullish one ( white) and bearish (purple). Bearish line takes us into the mid 30's. This would set up a 4th new yearly low. Since the early 90s this is something that has not occurred after a 50% drop in oil prices. My Bullish analysis show support from a 23.6% fib retracement, a trendline that includes low from...
Researched and found a similar technical pattern to todays Crude bear market that ultimately ended the Bear and turned it into a rally. In 98-99 Crude entered a strong bear market, dropping over 50%. Market made 3 new weekly lows in that time before rallying back. In 2015, a similar pattern is being produced. 3 new lows, in Jan, April and August. A sort of...
RIG might be setting itself for a short. Top of trendline and resistance of a Moving avg and prior support/resistance line. Rig has seen a strong advance lately and might be expecting some sort of pull back soon. On a fundamental note, if fed does raise rates sept 17th 2015 then dollar should rally and in turn push crude oil lower supporting the argument to short.
Weekly Chart shows BAC bouncing off the 18-19.50 level 5 times since 2009. Fib retracement shows support at 15-15.50 level. Looks like a promising short for now. The new catalyst is The Fed raising rates, which is beneficial to banks as their "interest spread" increases (rate they pay depositors to rate they charge clients for their products). Eventually BAC...
For the $HES trade I see a double bottom in its trading range. I like to buy at this area for a long ($67.30) to sell into its upper end of the range (60% at $75.XX and the rest at $78-79). When I compared with /CL futures on a daily I see that $HES is currently oversold and the past 2 times in the past 9 months that it was oversold it would come back to the...