Gold_Alpha

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Core logic sorting Trend judgment Led by bulls: Gold has been trading sideways at high levels after three consecutive days of sharp rises, and the 1-hour moving average is in a bullish arrangement, but we need to be wary of short-term overbought (excessive deviation). Adjustment method: Pay attention to two possibilities- Space adjustment: Quickly step back...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Core logic sorting Trend judgment Led by bulls: Gold has been trading sideways at high levels after three consecutive days of sharp rises, and the 1-hour moving average is in a bullish arrangement, but we need to be wary of short-term overbought (excessive deviation). Adjustment method: Pay attention to two possibilities- Space adjustment: Quickly step back...

Gold_Alpha

Current market background Gold has recently been driven by geopolitical tensions (such as escalation of tariff wars) and risk aversion, and has experienced extreme fluctuations. It has soared by nearly $200 in two trading days, with a single-day increase of more than $100, reaching a record high of 3174. The technical and emotional aspects resonate, and the...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

1. News analysis: long and short factors are intertwined, and the market focuses on US inflation data Negative factors: The strengthening of the US dollar suppresses gold prices Due to the risk aversion sentiment in the market caused by the comprehensive imposition of tariffs by the United States, funds flowed into the US dollar in the short term, causing gold...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

1. Market review: news-driven, gold surged and fell On Monday (4.7) during the US trading session, the market heard the news of "suspending tariffs for 90 days", and assets such as gold, US stocks, and crude oil rose rapidly, but it was later confirmed to be false news, and the price fell rapidly. This incident shows that the market is extremely sensitive to...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

I. Analysis of core driving factors Impact of liquidity run China's 34% counter-tariff on the United States triggered a global sell-off of risky assets, triggering a cross-market chain reaction. In order to meet the margin requirements of assets such as stocks, investors were forced to reduce their gold positions, forming an "asset rebalancing" selling...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

I. Analysis of core driving factors Impact of liquidity run China's 34% counter-tariff on the United States triggered a global sell-off of risky assets, triggering a cross-market chain reaction. In order to meet the margin requirements of assets such as stocks, investors were forced to reduce their gold positions, forming an "asset rebalancing" selling...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Core driving factors of the gold market Supported by risk aversion, the Trump administration announced a 10% benchmark tariff on the world (effective on April 5) and imposed higher tariffs on countries with large trade deficits (effective on April 9), which triggered market concerns about the escalation of global trade frictions. Risk aversion demand is still an...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

1. Core driving factors: Risk aversion dominates the market Geopolitical risks escalate, and Trump's tough stance on Iran and Russia exacerbates market uncertainty, and funds flow into gold for risk aversion. Concerns about the global trade war continue: The new US tariff policy may trigger a chain reaction, pushing up inflation expectations and risk aversion...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Technical analysis Trend judgment: Gold surged and then fell, reaching a high of 3148 before adjusting under pressure, and entered a short-term correction cycle. 2-hour chart: Moving average dead cross, MACD dead cross with large volume, Bollinger band closing, indicating that bullish momentum is weakening. 1-hour chart: After a surge, it fell back quickly and...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Core trading logic： Driving factors: Risk aversion (geopolitical conflict), Fed rate cut expectations, central bank gold purchases and inflationary pressure jointly support gold prices, and the expectation of a weaker dollar further strengthens the attractiveness of gold. Key events: If the US PCE data shows stagflation (high inflation + weak economy), it may...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Core trading logic： Driving factors: Risk aversion (geopolitical conflict), Fed rate cut expectations, central bank gold purchases and inflationary pressure jointly support gold prices, and the expectation of a weaker dollar further strengthens the attractiveness of gold. Key events: If the US PCE data shows stagflation (high inflation + weak economy), it may...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

From the perspective of wave structure, at the golden daily level, driven by 5 waves starting from 2537, the current market is on the 5-wave upward trend starting from 2832. The 5 waves can be subdivided into 5 waves, 5 wave 1 is 2832-2929, 5 wave 2 is 2929-2880 , Wave 3 of 5 is 2880-3057. On Thursday, the market broke through 3057 and increased in volume. Wave...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Analysis of the current core logic of the gold market 1. Driving factors: risk aversion + Fed policy expectations Trade war escalation: Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported cars (effective on April 2), which triggered market concerns about the intensification of global trade conflicts and promoted safe-haven funds to flow into gold. Federal Reserve Policy:...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

News analysis Safe-haven demand support: The potential tariff policy of the Trump administration has caused market concerns, which may push up inflation and intensify trade frictions, and enhance the safe-haven appeal of gold. De-dollarization trend: Geopolitical uncertainty has driven central banks of various countries to continue to buy gold, which is...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Latest gold trend analysis: Upper resistance: 3035-3038 → look at 3045-3050 after breakthrough Lower support: 3015-3018→ Strong support 3005-3010 Operation strategy: Go long on callbacks at low levels (main idea) Entry area: 3005-3010 (Stabilization signal: Hourly chart closing positive/KD golden cross) Target: 3035-3045 (reduce positions in batches), if it...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Analysis of the latest gold trend: Gold prices fell 0.7% last Friday due to the strengthening of the US dollar and profit-taking, and once hit the 3,000 integer mark during the session. However, geopolitical and economic uncertainties linger, and coupled with the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, gold prices are still supported by bargain hunting and...

Gold_Alpha Updated 

Analysis of gold market trend next week: Analysis of gold news: Spot gold fell 0.7% on Friday (March 21) to $3,023.61 per ounce. Spot gold fell sharply, once falling below the $3,000/ounce mark, down nearly $50 from its historical high. As concerns about the possible further escalation of the US-led trade war continue to ferment, global markets are once again in...