HEX seems to follow Fed actions and interest rate movements, at least in some type of correlated way, but on steroids. HEX hyperexaggerates movements in the fixed-income markets it attempts to emulate. Coincidence or causation?
TLT is on a path that will not be stopped, realizing $140 by April 17th 2025. Unemployment is rising, Consumer Prices are falling, Sahm Rule has been triggered, Yield Curve has disinverted, Crude Oil is crashing, VIX is spiking, among many other indicators which signal market turmoil ahead. Soon everyone will say they knew bonds were going higher, they will talk...
Lookout below! Chart looks horrific. Comment below where your bottom target is! if demand continues to be weak and supply grows, crude oil might see prices in the 60s or potentially lower if there's a significant event or policy shift could Oil be headed back to the COVID-era $30 range ?
please approximate the next number in the following number sequence: 1187, 850, 455, 266 ... Therefore, the next number in the sequence might be approximately 163 falls in rates are happening faster and faster. forecasts.org predicting 2% rates by april in the 30Y with the drop starting in oct/nov
When theorizing how high TLT can go, remember that the 30 Year Bond has never fallen below 1% in history. There is extra boost below that 1% marker that could potentially send TLT over 200
grok please find the next number in the sequence 903 511 315 = 215 215 days from the time the US03Y crosses below the 52wk moving average from when the 30 year bond bottoms. If this correction is to the same magnitude of previous correction the US30Y could fall by another 47% from current levels to 2.8%, or it could fall even further to 0.28%
Walgreens taking a massive dump to bounce here at the $12 mark
making the case if the parabola fits, seems to fit better than what has been drawn before, what if personal bias can make things seem rosier than they really are
Red line above green line means the disinversion has occurred. When green line above red line it means the 2yr is still paying higher interest than the 10yr
Destiny has already been cast. Enjoy the show. Unemployment Rate is set to continue to rise into early next year and beyond.
It looks like we may finally see the 10/2 yield disinversion happen this week in the US bond market, ahead of the Sept 6th Unemployment Rate and the Sept 18th Federal Reserve rate cuts
Could the 10's and 2's yield inversion finally rollover tomorrow back into normal territory ? MACD and basic patterns suggest no, but fundamentals will prevail. If CPI comes in hot, inversion likely continues, if CPI continues to cool as it has been for months, the inversion could finally run its course tomorrow morning
Either Btc will crash or VIX will make new all time highs but the bearish ascending wedge does not look good for bitcoin past 2027 or even sooner
The chart proves it. Too many times people throw around the theory that cutting interest rates causes inflation. If this were true we would have seen CPI rise considerably from 2009 to 2015 when rates were near zero, yet we did not see anything of the sort occur. In fact, CPI continued to fall throughout this time
Still plenty of steam left. These won't be alarming until rates go below zero
Only a matter of time, maybe days away at current rates
Fed meeting next week, along with jobs numbers this thursday. Could Powell launch a surprise rate cut due to the CrowdStrike IT hack? Powell has said that his number one concern that keeps him up at night is Cyber
It's a shame that so many have fallen for Bitcoin when they could have been holding the superior BNB which has better number go up technology