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US economic data for October was strong and market expectations for the Fed rate meeting on 8 November fell significantly. Currently, based on the price of 30-day federal funds futures, the market's expected probability of the next rate cut of 25Bp is 85%, and the expected probability of no rate cut is 15%, this data is significantly lower than last...

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The most important macro data this week is Thursday's CPI data, but of even greater concern is the concentration of Fed officials speaking out this week. Basically every day there are more than four speeches by Fed officials, and these speeches have a very obvious expected moderating effect on the future expectations of the Fed's rate cuts. Now the market for the...

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89,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.64, a Maxpain point of $59,000 and a notional value of $5.8 billion. 718,000 ETH options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.47, a Maxpain point of $2,500 and a notional value of $1.9 billion. Today is the third quarter delivery day and crypto has rallied strongly in the last three weeks,...

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Quarterly delivery is coming up this Friday and IVs are down significantly in all major terms. This is a relatively small quarterly delivery, with BTC's options position at 33% of total holdings this quarter and ETH's options position at 38% of total holdings this quarter. There have been a large number of Block put option deals recently, and the odds are that...

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With the current rally gradually slowing down, options implied volatility has declined slightly across all major terms, with short-term BTC IV currently around 45% and long- term ATM IV also generally below 60%, and short-term ETH IV around 54% and long- term ATM IV near 67%. On the block trade side, there were more Block puts traded today, accounting for nearly a...

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Last week's Fed interest rate meeting decided to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the crypto market was encouraged by the significant rise, and this week a number of Fed governors spoke intensively, the wind of the speech is worth paying attention to. Token2049 came to an end, the crypto project did not appear too much new information, the market reaction...

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20,200 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.86, a Maxpain point of $59,000 and a notional value of $1.28 billion. 125,000 ETH options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.67, a Maxpain point of $2,350 and a notional value of $320 million. The cryptocurrency rally continued this week, as the Fed's final 50 basis point rate cut slightly...

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23,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.87, a Maxpain point of $58,000 and a notional value of $1.34 billion. 127,000 ETH options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.73, a Maxpain point of $2,400 and a notional value of $298 million. Crypto rallied overall this week while volatility expectations in the market are declining....

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With the week coming to a smooth end, the U.S. presidential debate and various macro data did not bring significant volatility. Next week the Fed rate cut expectations are gradually converging, and currently from the interest rate trading data provided by the CME, the probability of next week's rate cut of 25 bps is 87%, and the probability of a rate cut of 50 bps...

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Bitcoin investment must-have, this week's heavyweight events preview (9/9-9/15) Last week's macro data didn't bring much impact, and next Thursday is the Fed's interest rate meeting day, where a 25 basis point rate cut is once again the main point. The cryptocurrency market is very weak, and BTC is down close to 10% again since September, and now the market...

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14,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.81, a Maxpain point of $59,000 and a notional value of $760 million. 125,000 ETH options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.63, a Maxpain point of $2,500 and a notional value of $290 million. Crypto has been down all the way this week, and the weakness across the board is evident in the...

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Bitcoin's decline continues and market confidence is continuing to wane. The Block options market saw a large number of puts traded today, accounting for nearly 30% of the total, with $280 million traded in BTC Block Put and $90 million traded in ETH Block Put. In terms of options data, the major term Skews are all veering in a bearish and implied volatility is...

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The Bank of Canada just announced a 25 basis point rate cut, in line with market expectations. The U.S. stock market continues to open lower, with leader Nvidia having lost 20% in a week's time. The crypto market is dragged down by the macro and U.S. stock markets have also been tumbling recently, so the employment data in next two days is of great concern, and if...

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Since September 2, the Bitfinex lending market has continued to see opportunities with annualized interest rates of more than 20% over the past 10 hours. Meanwhile, BTC long positions have increased by a net 3,000 since August 28th. Greens lending rates and long positions have always been an over-the-top indicator for bulls, and the previous two major spikes were...

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Bitcoin Investing Must-Haves, A Sneak Peek at This Week's Big Events (9/2-9/8) This Friday's unemployment and non-farm payrolls data are noteworthy, and two weeks later is the Fed's interest rate meeting. Looking at the current trading data, there is a 70% probability of a 25Bp rate cut and a 30% probability of a 50Bp rate cut. there is a real possibility of a...

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62,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.59, a Maxpain point of $61,000 and a notional value of $3.66 billion. 530,000 ETH options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.49, a Maxpain point of $2,800 and a notional value of $1.34 billion. Today is monthly delivery, and the weakness in ETH this month is evident in the Options Data,...

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NVIDIA is about to report earnings, and as the brightest star stock in the U.S. at the moment, major markets are focusing on the impact of the earnings report on the broader U.S. stock market. Cryptocurrencies are down recently, yesterday's sharp decline superimposed on Nvidia earnings expectations, a small increase in today's implied volatility IV. But put a long...

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Essential for Bitcoin investment, this week's heavyweight events first look (8/26-9/1) Powell's speech at the annual meeting of global central banks in Jackson Hole made it clear that the Fed will cut rates in September, and there is now a greater consensus for a 25Bp cut, and there is also the possibility of a 50Bp cut if economic data is under pressure this...