18,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.83, a Maxpain point of $60,000 and a notional value of $1.12 billion. 140,000 ETH options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.93, Maxpain point of $26,25 and a notional value of $370 million. Looking at options data, positions in weekly options are continuing to fall, with positions...
This week's macro events and data did not bring too many waves, the historical volatility (RV) of cryptocurrencies continued to go down, and the options market's expectations for volatility are gradually decreasing. The most notable macro event of the month is the upcoming Jackson Hole Central Bank Annual Meeting, with news related to the Fed's interest rate cuts...
Block trading, which has been dormant for days, is back on fire, with significant growth in block trades traded today, with a notional value of over $500 million. 3,643BTC block call options traded, accounting for 24% of the day's total trading, 2,084BTC block put options traded, accounting for 14% of the day's total trading. 31430ETH block call options traded,...
Bitcoin Investing Essentials, A Sneak Peek at This Week's Biggest Events (8/19-8/25) This week is the most important macro week, with the annual Jackson Hole global central bank meeting starting this Thursday. The news related to the yen rate hike and the dollar rate cut is the most attention-grabbing, and both the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will make...
24,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.83, a Maxpain point of $59,500 and a notional value of $1.4 billion. 184,000 ETH options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.80, Maxpain point of $2,650 and notional value of $470 million. This week's expiring options represent about 10% of the total position, and the August/ September/...
The US July CPI data was slightly lower than expected, hitting a new low since March 2021, which is widely believed to further push the Fed to cut rates in September, with current market expectations expecting a 25BP rate cut. Both the U.S. stock market and crypto market fell along with the data, with ETH falling the most significantly, by more than 4%.After the...
US PPI data for July fell sharply slightly below expectations, with the monthly core PPI rate dropping to zero, and today's US stock market opened with notable gains in popular stocks. However, there was little volatility on the crypto side, which was not inspired by the big rise in US equities, and the major short and main term IVs fell. There is more important...
A Sneak Peek at This Week's Big Events (8/12-8/18) After a week of adjustment, the market has come out of the blow of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike. Recent dovish comments from the Bank of Japan have also given the market confidence, and despite the constant stream of negative market news, sentiment is more optimistic this week. This week's macro focus...
32,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.71, a Maxpain point of $60,000 and a notional value of $1.9 billion. 206,000 ETH options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.96, Maxpain point of $2,950 and notional value of $560 million. The Yen rate hike hit the crypto market hard, and this week's slightly softer stance from the Bank...
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week were recorded at 233,000, a new low since July 6th. U.S. Economic data has repeatedly jumped sideways this quarter, and despite the fact that most people believe that U.S. economic data has been completely manipulated by human fakery, the data can still sway risky assets. Bitcoin and eth rallied over 5% today as the shock...
The wind in the sails of the Bank of Japan shapes all risky assets, and recent hawkish comments from the BOJ have hit cryptocurrency prices significantly, with last week's mention of the BOJ's over-the-top behavior likely to be a heavy hitter. The BOJ's actions need to be watched consistently this month, with a large percentage of global macro trading based on the...
A Sneak Peek at This Week's Big Events (7/29-8/4) This week is a big macro week, last week's bitcoin conference released the goodwill of the U.S. political community on crypto, this week's main news returns to the macro market —— the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve's interest rate resolution are very noteworthy, because despite the market's expectations of a...
There is a lot of news to watch this week, first of all the most noteworthy is the opening of the Bitcoin Conference on Thursday, Trump will attend the speech, is likely to release a crypto-favorable breaking news. ETH ETF will normally be listed on Tuesday, also gave the market a lot of confidence. Market conditions have improved significantly in the second half...
21,000 BTC options expired with a Put Call Ratio of 1.2, a Maxpain point of $62,000 and a notional value of $1.3 billion. 140,000 ETH options expired with Put Call Ratio of 0.39, Maxpain point of $3,150 and notional value of $480 million. The crypto market has rallied sharply this week, fueled by multiple positive news, with all major term IVs showing significant...
The uptrend in BTC and ETH has stalled somewhat, but implied volatility across all major terms continues to rise, and as we mentioned yesterday, IV has always responded to the market with a relative lag. With over half of the BTC options block trading volume coming from active call buying and over half of the ETH regular trading volume coming from active call...
The ETH ETF will be launched next Tuesday, and fueled by the positive news, ETH rose 8%, driving the entire crypto market significantly higher. The sharp rise in cryptocurrency prices drove IVs of all terms to rise in tandem as well, with BTC implied volatility rising even more than ETH, but both are still at relatively low levels. We have mentioned several times...
Bitcoin Investment Essentials, A Sneak Peek at This Week's Big Events (7/15-7/21) This macro events of this week is not important, and now that the German and U.S. government's crypto sell-offs have stopped, cryptos are spiraling back up, and market sentiment is effectively improving. On the crypto side, the SEC is supposed to respond to the ETH ETF this week,...
This week is not a macro week, and the current action of the German and U.S. governments to sell off cryptocurrencies has had an impact on the market that has overridden other factors. It is difficult for the market to improve effectively when the sell-off doesn't stop, so we need to keep a close eye on the German and U.S. government's moves this week. On the...