SIMPLE REBOUND STORY? Inexpensive stock (P/BV=0.75) bullish consensus (BUY) and 25% target upside. Has found a gently up-sloping channel since Feb 2016. Currently trading at the bottom of channel. Shows technical signs of turnaround. Has rebounded less than the market. Seems to have found a floor at $28. PLAIN VANILLA LONG STRATEGY Buy at the market. Target...
ALL SYSTEMS IN THE GREEN FOR THE MAIN US EQUITY INDEX - Clear uptrend showing on all time frames; - Technical picture positive on all time frames; - Has broken out since the end of the rounding top; - Looks like it is engaged in a new uptrend. HOWEVER, LOOKING OVERBOUGHT AT THE CURRENT LEVELS - RSI >76 on the daily chart; - Has not taken any rest all of last...
COMPELLING FUNDAMENTALS With a strong buy recommendation from the consensus and a 55% target upside, this stock looks fundamentally compelling The company has average revenue growth of 11% with an R.O.E. of 9.25% and an undemanding valuation (P.E. 12x, P/BV 1x) The pharma sector might also provide interesting exposure, if the market decides to take a breather from...
IMPROVING FUNDAMENTALS? The consensus is lukewarm: Mild BUY with 10% target upside But the yield (up) and market (up) environments have been improving The Italian referendum is unlikely to impact materially this global insurer Valuation remains compelling at <80% of book value IMPROVING TECHNICALS Clear support line formed since the summer - Current level...
Current consolidation range 54-59. We are at the bottom of this range. This bottom also corresponds to the long term support line, visible on weekly chart below. Stock downgraded this morning by Credit Suisse but fails to break the support. Believe most bad news is in the price. Short interest on the stock is significant: 23% of float - Makes short squeeze...
FUNDAMENTALLY COMPELLING BUY rated by the consensus +47% average target upside Morningstar rating * * * * TECHNICALLY: COULD BE REBOUNDING SOON? GG is down 35% since the intermediate top above $20 reached in early July This is 2.5X more than the consolidation in Gold (-13.74% since July) Such negative performance has brought a spike in volatility The stock has...
Blackstone Group is back towards the bottom of the gentle up-channel started in 2009 (see weekly chart below). Rebounded off a double-bottom on the daily chart in good volume, but not as much as the rest of the financials. Similar story to another, smaller asset manager highlighted recently (please check LM idea). 1. Buy here with target 28.50 and stop 23.50 for...
This thread takes over from the previous one: "Oversold: Buy the dip." BAD NEWS OUT OF THE WAY? The stock was demolished after disappointing earnings and the drone debacle. This lead many analysts to downgrade it (current consensus rating = HOLD) with an estimated average target price at the current money. There currently seems to be a lot of bad news in stock....
SPX now up 7 days in a row, after being down 7 days. Rebounded violently (+3.8%) on the MA200 support. Now EXACTLY mid-way between: - Current historical high turned resistance (+1.36%) - Previous historical high turned support (-1.36%) Talk about a coincidence, and indecisiveness... Rounding top negative formation invalidated for now Up-trend confirmed above...
GREAT LONG-TERM TECHNICAL PICTURE, SOME RECENT WEAKNESS - Long term uptrend took us to historical high on October 6, 2016 - Gentle uptrend over the past 6 months with a breakout late Sept. - Some short term weakness since the top, but still in breakout mode SOLID, PRICEY FUNDAMENTALS - Continues to impress the investment community - 87.5% of consensus has a buy...
This idea is a follow-on from the previous, pre-earnings options strategy We assume a long position at $122 (for those who got exercised on the put sale) This is -3.3% away from the 118 support (channel bottom and MA200) and -1% away from the last close Play the up-channel rebound with a target at 133.50 (previous high) and a stop loss at 117.00
SOUND BUT UNEXCITING FUNDAMENTALS Consensus is favorable on aggregate: Buy recommendation, +12.75% target upside. Numbers are compelling (5-yr rev growth +6.63% and ROE +20.35%) but growth has been slipping, esp. in TV. Valuation is un-demanding at a P/E of 17x (now less expensive than the market?) TECHNICALLY ON A DOWNTREND BUT COULD BE REBOUNDING DIS has been...
Heading for 2nd breakout above 22.5 on the VIX? Stay bullish as long as we remain >20.5. Momentum positive, if slightly overbought.
Negative news regarding operational manufacturing issues at GPRO have brought the stock down more than 20% in 2 days. The stock currently looks majorly oversold, as the market discounts a disappointing XMas season ahead and less than satisfactory Karma drone sales. This looks overdone. betting on short-term rebound as shorts take profits. Buy at the market with a...
A BEAUTIFUL ROUNDING TOP FOR MR. TRUMP Index seemingly forming a nice, even rounded top (a reversal formation) What I particularly like about this one: It's nice and even It has been building for quite some time (4 months) It is built around a fresh historical high (this makes it more relevant) It completed yesterday a few points off the critical MA200...
Volatility has been at very low levels throughout the summer Currently exact mirror image of SP500 with a nice rounding bottom Recently broke above key 20.50 level and formed a golden cross (positive cross-over) Looks slightly overbought for now Expect some breathing space today and resumption of up-trend next (election) week STAY LONG (VIXX) if you are BUILD...
Yesterday's close <2,100 is a confirmation of the negative trend which has been forming Most technical indicators have now turned negative for the S&P 500 50MA is getting dangerously close to a negative "death cross" formation with MA100 We are approaching oversold levels but not yet dramatically so Next few weeks provide just enough uncertainty (elections, Fed)...
FUNDAMENTALLY COMPELLING Quality company (5yr revenue growth +55%, long-term EPS +35%) Trading at a premium valuation (63x PE, 8.5x P/BV) Positively biased consensus with +19% upside target Happy to own the stock for the long term, but at what price? TECHNICALLY STRONG Superb up-channel post July 2013 breakout Up-trend accentuation post Aug'15 flash...