With gold going parabolic and silver futures up, copper shouldn't surprise anyone. Wait for bullish confirmation at 1.20. The Inverse H & S as a continuation pattern is more successful than the inverse H & S as a reversal. 53% success w/reversal, 62% w/continuation. WRN is on my watch list.
Keep in mind, the macro is a bullish uptrend. Above the weekly 50. Early post halving. Now we have what loos like a regular flat correction. What we would like to see... an impulse move above 62k and a daily close. Could enter or add at breakout or retest of 62k. Invalid if BTC closes below the ext 1.236.
I look for CRV to eventually make it down to 1.4-1.24 as most rising wedges break down to their origin of support. Where it goes from there? Many alts, including the good ones, will see an 85-95% markdown during bear markets. I'd short it from the top of every bearish retest. Not sure if CRV goes in the red but certainly anything at 1.4 and below is a great...
Trend is weakening, testing the wkly 50 again with a double rejection at 45. Down, down, to Goblin Town. Expect bearish retest once below trend.
Bearish Gartley on the 4hr. RSI flashing a bear div. Perhaps some short term relief is on the way.
The weekly matches up with an expanded flat (middle of diagram), if true forecast has BTC bouncing back.
Price target when measuring head to neckline, neckline to target, 1300-1100. Maybe by May-June, expect bounces at key levels marked by dashed lines during markdown. Would need to flip 3200-3400 resistance to flip bias.
Long term, 3-4k is the traditional target for this pattern. Short term, if bounce then look for 20.7 to flip, if declination, a close below 17k would be confirmation.
(Ignore the wick that extends to .02 its a reporting issue with Trading View) Nice squeeze, need to flip 5.5 for further upside (deviation) in which case I'll target 8-8.2 otherwise test 3.2 (Feb. 2021 lows)
Looking for a zigzag, corrective wave (v) could turn around now or it could hit my target of 12k. Cant rule that out. Curious to see if this plays out. Just another chart for my journal as I try my hand at EW. NFA
Cant help but be bullish on BTC long term. If the lows are swept and reversed there, perhaps BTC is in a bullish consolidation rectangle pattern. If so, then look for a break to the 1.272 and a bullish confirmation at 65.
To further elaborate on the double top theory. The LTF H & S and HTF Double Top need to remain confluent. A break above 46k would be a deviation of the H & S and invalidates both patterns.
I wouldn't short here, nothing like the previous channel.
This accompany has just opened a contract with US and EU markets for 800k dose for Monkey POX in the US. Inverse printing. When Moderna received a contract for COIVD is 4x'd. I cant see why this wouldn't at least pump another 40% to the 1.618
A daily close above 22.5 could put up a morning star candlestick pattern. An underside test of 28.4 would be likely at that point. Double bust triple bottoms are more likely than triple bust triple bottoms. Need to hold 22.5 and up though.
For a more conservative less riskier entry, if you're a seeing is bullieving kind of swing trader\investor, you could always wait for the 1st monthly close above the 8ema after the capitulation candle. Historically, that has been the right time to enter.
Looking at the short term trend using the 8 ema , every time there was a monthly close below it, a dip followed. If history repeats itself and this isn't a generational top, then perhaps a flash to 20 and a few months to get back above the ema . Higher peaks were followed by longer corrections. We could see a brief few months below the 8 ema . Maybe even see...
Fibs in green, ascending channel (bear flag), target is 9.42, next would be 7. Channel was copy and pasted below as is the traditional measure for an ascending channel. There is confluence at the EQ and 9.42, as well as with bottom of channel and 7. (Note to self) Continuation patterns happen more often than reversals.