HashxCapital

HashxCapital

After the recent market volatility caused by tariffs, the Swiss Franc skyrocketed and forced retail shorts to cover. Now those same retail traders have opened long positions at a similar rate. If the market begins to reverse these late retail longs will be forced to close. Therefore, a short position in the Swiss Franc is currently an asymmetric trading opportunity.

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Three signals have been hit: 1. The equity put call ratio has reached a value of 0.94 this week, further indicating a potential bottom in sentiment. 2. The Vix has spiked above 30 and is beginning to stabilize below 25. 3. The front month and three month Vix futures backwardation has stabilized. This Friday, AMEX:VOO recorded a 2% gain. Therefore a long can...

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OM has gained attention as one of the premier RWA protocols in the crypto space. OM started at 500m market cap one year ago and today stands around 7B. This kind of growth is exciting, but against BTC I see it as unsustainable. Therefore, a mean reversion OM/BTC short trade has the potential to fall 50% over the next twelve months, regardless whether prices enter...

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Retail traders are currently in a crowded short position with price beginning to reverse. We aim to capture the losses of retail traders in a short squeeze. Additionally, a Swiss Franc long position could work in both a risk-on and risk-off environment given its long standing reputation as a safe haven currency.

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Euro is beginning to show crowded speculators to the long side. Additionally, retail futures traders are significantly long, this approach aims to fade retail traders at market inflection points. Now that the Euro has begun to reverse, a stop loss can be placed at Friday's high.

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After the recent approval of the Ethereum ETF, I anticipate a shift in momentum from Solana to Ethereum. When comparing the two networks, Ethereum's robust security model and scalability enable it to support the tokenization of real-world assets through layer-two networks like BASE, Optimism, and Arbitrum. While Solana may attract more retail attention through...

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Last night, the Swiss Franc surged by over 100 basis points in response to an Israeli airstrike on Iran, causing ripples across the market. Despite the widespread apprehension, the Franc stood firm as a trusted safe-haven asset. Now, as risk appetite returns, we witness the market bouncing back. Over the past 24 hours, the Swiss Franc has demonstrated a consistent...

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Maple Finance is in prime position to capture the real world asset narrative in crypto. The supply of MPL is fixed and dilution is capped efficiently. MPL is arguably more favorable than other projects such as Ondo, which already sits with a 10B fully diluted valuation. By 2025, I expect Maple to have a five week period in which the total market cap will 20x from...

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One of the prevailing narratives in this bull market is the institutionalization of cryptocurrency as a legitimate asset class. When Larry Fink initially broached the idea of a Bitcoin ETF (back when it was around GETTEX:25K ), many seasoned traders dismissed it and even bet against Bitcoin. However, IBIT has since emerged as the most successful ETF launch of all...

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Bitcoin Miner CleanSpark, will reach a price above 50 by 2025. Bitcoin will continue its upward climb in the second half of 2024, price will top out around 80-90k and crypto related assets will be lifted with the wave. Alt coins will go nuts and so will competition such as MARA and RIOT etc.. Overall, Cleanspark may be the dark horse because of its focus on mining...

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Commercials have been actively distributing sterling over the past month and a half, even as large and small speculators persist in taking long positions. However, today witnessed a startling turn of events as the Bank of England caught the market off guard by implementing a substantial 50 basis point rate hike. In the event that the price concludes the day on a...

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COIN 1W Following the recent SEC lawsuit, sentiment on Coinbase has never been lower. However, this may not be the end for Coinbase. As long as they don’t go bankrupt and there IS another bull cycle, COIN seems like a safe, regulated way to gain beta on a future Bitcoin bull market. Additionally, Coinbase plans to open its international perpetual futures exchange...

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Commercial hedgers have reached max long levels on the COT oscillator. Large speculators and retail traders have recently capitulated on gold longs and dollar shorts, therefore, Yen may be an interesting place to see a short squeeze if the dollar rotation trade is to play out.