I don't know if we are gonna reject or fly above (light grey). What i know is that, once btc truly bounces after the first top (77-110k range), alts are going to do x5-x10 in 1 month.
Look, it's easy. People want tge grey scenario (super low, up, down) ---> 5% chance. People want the black scenario (double high) --> 60% chance People want the blue scenario (higher high) --> 35% chance So.. My strategy is to sell 75% of my alts value once Ethereum touches the high, goes down and bumps back. I will keep 25% in case we see an extra melt-up...
Here's a simple range vision for the next 10 years of bitcoin dominance.
This model is in line with my previous work. I'm expecting between 77k and 110k (less probable). This is 2017 but accelerated. It's going twice the speed but we will see decreasing returns. Alts-->Higher
In 2022 I started building a btc model that was based on 3 theses: - the peak of the first wave of inflation is here - btc is following a s/hyperbolic adoption curve (we are approaching the flat part) - btc is following a 3x3 time-based phase model Based on this model, I was expecting a price between 2023 and 2024 of 54-77k.
I would consider something like this. Dump Slow pump in the 52-54k area. That means, alt season part 2 could start again in Mid feb and end mid Aug/beginning of Sept (for some alts). Let's see.
Nothing to say. Bullish. Phase D. Next ---> Phase E
Nothing to say. Bullish. Phase D. Next ---> Phase E
I still believe there is a chance to see BTC at 70k in 2023 before a second inflationary period in 2023-2024 that will drive BTC down again. This is in line with one of my melt-up scenarios I posted in 2021.
Let's navigate through the positive scenario of eth.
Let's navigate through the positive scenario of alt3.
I still believe there is a chance to see BTC at 70k in 2023 before a second inflationary period in 2023-2024 that will drive BTC down again. This is in line with one of my melt-up scenarios I posted in 2021.
I truly think we are going to end this cycle in Q3 2024 (max early early Q4). Hilo is something I'm watching together with other mid caps coins (under 1B) or low cap coins (under 100m).
Been passionate about TAO since Sept 2023 but I will not be a bag holder. When it's time --> sell.
Not matter what, I've been showing this scenarios in multiple ways. First ABC correction: -->16k --> 30-40k --> 7-10k Then 1-2-3-4-5 new cycle (that will end in 2035) --> 54k --> 200-300k --> 500k-600k
M1 has caused problems for us BROTHERS. The current market divided by M1 resembles the gold market during a bear market, but it is happening three times faster due to the digital age. Based on this model, BTC may reach 35,000$ in 2023, undergo consolidation until the halving, and then drop to 8,000$ before beginning a new macrocycle. It is important to note that...
Always the same scenarios. Different representations.
Let's have a look at the TVL of Ethereum. Bearish for the next 6 months.