Homocryptus

Homocryptus

As I mentioned before, we could be currently in stage 2 of this inflationary bear market. This means that inflation peaked in September and we can expect to see lower inflation for a few months, followed by a recession. This will likely lead to more bear market rallies until the Federal Reserve intervenes again and introduces more money into the market, leading to...

Homocryptus Updated 

As I mentioned before, we could be currently in stage 2 of this inflationary bear market. This means that inflation peaked in September and we can expect to see lower inflation for a few months, followed by a recession. This will likely lead to more bear market rallies until the Federal Reserve intervenes again and introduces more money into the market, leading to...

Homocryptus Updated 

As you know, based on my probs to reach the super cycle top: - 2022: 25% (July Aug are key for a reversal) - 2023: 50% (Nov Dec are key for a reversal) - 2024: 10%/(2023 is key) - 2025: 15% (2024 is key)

Homocryptus Updated 

UTK move: 1) as soon as we cross 0.15 --> 0.20 is fast in my opinions 2) my gut tells me 0.20 is going to be easy, so the next natural target is 0.24 3) we can have a deviation on the upside up to 0.32 if BTC behaves in November This is true for UTK and for many other alts.

Homocryptus Updated 

Algorand move: 1) as soon as we cross 0.38 --> 0.43 is fast in my opinions 2) my gut tells me 0.43 is going to be easy, so the next natural target is 0.50 which is the mid-range (macro) 3) we can have a deviation on the upside up to 0.70 if BTC behaves in November This is true for Algo and for many other alts.

Homocryptus Updated 

Chainlink move: Short term: 1) small pump up to 9-10$, dump 2) dump to the mid-range of the small range (7$), pump to 12-17$, deviation, then dump (during the staking december season) Long term: 1) deviation, consolidate in the 4-6$ range, initiate new pump 2) consolidate in the 4-6$ range, final dump to may 2020 prices, consolidation, initiate new pump This is...

Homocryptus Updated 

Cake move: Short term: 1) small pump up to 5.5-6$, deviation, dump 2) dump to the mid-range of the small range (3.5$), pump to 8-9$, then dump Long term: 1) deviation, consolidate in the 1.5-2.5$ range, initiate new pump 2) consolidate in the 1.5-2.5$ range, final dump to Jan 2021 prices, consolidation, initiate new pump This is true for cake and for many other alts.

Homocryptus Updated 

Are we? 1) in a macrocycle with multiple inflation and deflation peaks, like in the '70s (red). That means we can see a mini bull market up to 54k and then 7k-10k. 2) in a stage 2 bear market full of bear market rallies (next one up to 22-24k?). Then stage 3 (new drop to 12k) and stage 4 (depression, 2 years of low prices between 12-16k), like in the '40s. 3) in...

Homocryptus Updated 

I'm comfortable with all the 3 scenarios:) A) Super rally, lower inflation, and then a new inflationary bear cycle B) Rally, stage 3 and stage 4 of a bear market. New all-time highs in 2026 and 2027. C) Rally, we go down less than the previous bear markets. More consolidation.

Homocryptus Updated 

Waves theory. Make sense to see a bear rally pump for EGLD. The target of EGLD in the short term is 104-112$.

Homocryptus Updated 

Egld is the best chart of this inflationary bear market: 1) Long: long 46$. If we go above 58$ and hold it, you can compound your long position. The first target is 69$. If it deviates and stays above 69$ we can push it up to 100$ before new lows. (Also a clear long if we deviates below 42$ and reclaim 45$ fast). You can sell a big portion of Egld if we hit...

Homocryptus Updated 

I see this potential scenario in line with the worst case I said a while ago. Not bad honestly.

Homocryptus Updated 

As I said a couple of months ago, this is the worst case for ETH. Ranges are set. Potential deviations are set. 2026-2027 = new highs Long term long

Homocryptus Updated 

Range theory. Target price: 104-112$. Looking for a rally pre-Ethereum merge for all alts.

Homocryptus Updated 

As I said a couple of months ago, this is the worst case for ETH. Ranges are set. Potential deviations between 2100 and 2600$. Correction to 1300-1500 and then we re-assess.

Homocryptus Updated 

As I said, do not underestimate this painful macro chopping if we are going to see high peaks and lower inflation during the next few years...

Homocryptus Updated 

In line with the worst case I posted a while ago. Cycle analysis. 190 days BTC cycle. - weak market = bearish semester closing (good for a mid-semester pump). We are here. - strong market = bullish semester closing (good for a mid-semester dump).

Homocryptus Updated 

With this model, it looks like we are into the second macro bull cycle (super cycle) which can be subdivided in 3 bull cycles (6 in total). That means: - top = 120k Sep 2022 - bottom = Oct 2024