Go short Gold @2355 with Limit order SL: 2415 TP: 2995 Risk to Reward: 1:1 Win rate: 33% Profit factor: 3
This is another possibility: count that result in lower prices invalidation of this count is @2388.
Gold created impulsive upside breakout in a shape of Wave 1 Bearish count is invalid at this point Corrective Wave 2 is ongoing Going long at this correction is good strategy Stop Loss and invalidation @2314
I had to recount the legs down to fit the current pattern I assume we currently finished ABC Flat pattern as Wave 2 If the count is correct we're going down for Wave 3
Correction might be complete as Running Flat and we're in a starting phase of an impulsive wave up
- I'm waiting for Wave 3 of 3 Develop this week resulting in downside breakout - Gold was first metal to break down on 20th May but now is holding well among silver, copper and others - If the gold finally breaks down it can be a violent move, I want to be positioned for that - The price action tells me there is no upside risk unless price breaks swing lows and...
- Gold price corrected further and currently I'm seeing Running Flat completed for Wave 2 - This doesn't mean that we're going to see lower prices immediately. Wave 2 might be even more complex. However at this point being out of the market not advised. - The odds favor (much) lower prices if running flat is indeed what we have for wave 2. - I advice be short from here.
- If wave 2 is finished (it might not be cause it's very shorty), then we're going to fall steeply for wave 3 - If wave 2 is still ongoing, then there will be some sort of flat pattern and then gold will fall for wave 3 - The end of the month was week and we just had 2 consecutive weekly bearish bars. This increases the odds that we're going to see lower prices from here.
- This is the updated count of Gold - Price recovered from the swing low and it necessitate a recount. - Currently expect correction higher for Wave 2 - This will coincide with Friday and end of the month. Those days usually find strong buyers.
- Wave 2 is drawing it's final leg C to complete a flat - We can expect move a little bit higher from here and then sharp turn for Wave 3 down - It's ok to short this rally
- Gold led the markets with correction to the downside starting on May 20 - The move was very strong and is a beginning of an impulse wave. - Gold corrected for 3 waves and I think is ready to resume move down - Wave 3 is usually the longest and the steepest. In this case it might be not because Wave 1 Was long and steep.
Contextual Picture of the Gold moves. We're in a C wave of 4. Corrective move down is expected but then bull trend will resume. We're approaching important number 2500. The price can dance around this price for couple of months.
- Gold moved in very steep fashion to the downside - Such bearishness doesn't happen often. - Further downside is expected: 2250-2270 is my minimum target - Sell any rally for further downside
- Gold tricked me and created a strong bearish breakout - Previous count had to be changed and we are in a downtrend now
This trade is only valid for today. Risk to Reward: 1:2 Limit buy order @2417 TP:2459 SL:2396
- Gold is drawing a triangle for wave 4 - Wave 5 is expected to pop to ATH and then reverse. - Tomorrow are NVDA earnings and it might be a reversal day for lot of markets. - I expect the top to be between 2480 and 2515
- My base case is that we're in an extended 5th wave that will finish the bull run on Gold in approx. 2470. - This may be the top for couple of weeks and even months
- Gold is moving very impulsively to the upside - We're more than half way into the move - The projection now is that gold will reach 2500-2520 without major pullacks