NZDCAD just reached the 1.618 extension of it's recent abrupt fall, so I'm hedging myself until a .382 retracement of the total fall. Don't take this trade if you're not short from the top. If price continues to fall it would be like you had closed part of your position too soon, but you won't loose money. Plus, if it does keep falling, it is very unlikely that...
There's not a great deal of analysis behind this trade, it's coming from a sort of double bottom, it's approximating the 0.618 retracement and it's way oversold in h1 and entering oversold territory on h4. Even if we merely get a dead cat bounce there, we should have time to move stops to breackeven. I've never seen a price not bounce even a little with an RSI...
Gold made a double top so I'm counting on a 618 retracement to add more to my position, much much more cause this will probably be a big one:
When an ascending range breaks up upwards I take it as a sign of euphoria that quickly fades away, like the previous breakout. Could happen again of course, but I see a collapse to the bottom more likely,
Looks too clean maybe, too textbook move.. but in order to be systematic we need to follow the rules: broke the range and now we sell at the pullback at around 1292. I also have a sell stop under the lower dotted line. Don´t have a target, if it works I'll just go with it and see what happens then.
Short now and place a pending order at 1.455 in case it retests the maximum. Target: the blue trendline, at whatever price it takes place.
If price goes down and reverses at 0.72 - 0.721, it will be a great opportunity to join a possible new up trend.
Looks like a textbook bullish flag, but what bothers me is that the execution of the flag would cause quite a strange figure in other correlated pairs, so I find it unlikely to complete. Any opinion will be appreciated..
It stopped right on the base of the old ascending range, actually we see it passed through a little bit and market rejected it. In the recent dais it's been falling inside a range and stopped it's falling right in the intersection of the two ranges, which was also the 1.27 extension of the last big fall. But........ daily RSI is jut about to enter bearish zone...
I'm long in the medium term but before continuing the move up we could have some bouncing inside the range..
It's probably too soon yet but it's worth keeping an eye on it..