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Macro Thesis: EUR/NZD presents one of the clearest long opportunities this week, supported by a sharp divergence in macro fundamentals, a favorable positioning landscape, and confirmation across sentiment and structural models. 🔍 Key Drivers: 1. Macro Fundamentals (ENDO): The euro area maintains a relatively stable inflationary outlook with moderate growth, while...

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Macro Fundamentals (ENDO): The UK macro backdrop remains inflationary, with solid growth data and resilient employment figures, supporting further GBP strength. Conversely, the US shows increasing deflationary signals and a softer macro pulse. COT Positioning: Institutional positioning is highly supportive, with a 74% long bias and strong “flip percentile.” This...

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This week, the macro and market landscape provides a rare alignment across all major models—making AUD/USD the standout short opportunity among G10 FX pairs. Key Reasons for the Bearish AUD/USD Bias: 1. Commitment of Traders (COT): Institutional positioning has turned decisively bearish on the Australian dollar, with net shorts increasing and sentiment remaining...

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🚀 EUR/CAD – Strong Long Opportunity Based on Multi-Factor Confluence Over the past week, I conducted a comprehensive macro and sentiment-driven analysis across G10 FX pairs. Among several potential setups, EUR/CAD emerged as the most fundamentally and technically aligned long opportunity, supported by a confluence of high-probability signals across positioning,...

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Macro Bias: LONG NOK / SHORT JPY Why NOKJPY? 1. Fundamental Macro (ENDO): Norway (NOK): Strong inflationary pressure, positive PMI, robust M2 growth. Massive fiscal surplus driven by energy exports – best debt/GDP ratio in the G10. Norges Bank still maintaining relatively high interest rates. Positive Terms of Trade, central bank balance sheet (CBBS) is...

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After a full macro, COT, and sentiment analysis for this week, USDJPY stands out as the cleanest opportunity. ✅ Strong USD support: solid economic growth, persistent inflation, and elevated Treasury yields. ✅ Extremely weak JPY: Bank of Japan remains dovish, with low inflation and no sign of tightening policy. ✅ Risk sentiment: Stable to positive, favoring...

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Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis & Expectation Current Market Context: - Price:** **$2,908.55 - **Recent Move:** Sharp **bearish candle** with a long wick to the downside, suggesting a potential **liquidity grab** or stop hunt before a reversal. - **Market Structure:** - Overall **uptrend structure** still intact, but this move has created a significant...

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**Gold (XAU/USD) - Key Zone Reaction & Possible Scenarios** Looking at the chart, we can see that price is currently testing the **30 EG** zone after a strong move up from the **30 EF** zone below. The **original FEZ zone** (far left) was respected, and price reacted accordingly. ### What could happen next? 1️⃣ **Bearish Rejection from 30 EG** → If the...

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I am currently trading a new system, the **Engulfing System**, as I demonstrated above. I have a **4H zone**, where the price of gold typically moves from **one 4H period to another**. Additionally, a **TRADE CONTROL** zone has been created above, where it would be ideal for the price to reach before heading down. Of course, I need to **check the CMP** to...

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is not so much to say about this Trendline has broken; he took almost 3 day's to change direction, and now he's finally playingout for sell position So, my setup for tonight will be Sell, as you can see. Sl EDIT 150.194

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Therefore, when I first started, I had an incorrect image, but it turned out to be a good thing since I checked it twice. Additionally, after I finished my fundamental analysis, I saw that it did not line up with my technical analysis. I performed a second check, and I discovered that I had been incorrectly marked by technical analysis. Of course, we are humans,...

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On this trendline setup, it seems like UJ is retesting well; nevertheless, I want to be cautious that it pulls back even more before making the move down. It is possible that it will take some time before a sell is a smart choice since there is more resistance up higher. I am going to exercise patience and wait to see what transpires. It goes without saying that I...

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We have a fantastic opportunity for a long BUY tonight, and I'll explain why. All that's required of us tonight is a return to the zone, where I'll mark you and provide you with details. The first order of entry in the Asia session, which will begin at 00 (my time) in Berlin. When the market conditions improve, I will wait for the spread to settle down before...

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If we take a look at a UJ Trendline Setup for saleThere is not much to say; there will be sales. The trendline has been disrupted, and it has repeatedly reestablished itself on the resistance zone. I shall attempt my submission here right now since the Azia session that is taking place right now looks promising.

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I had a sell stop in place at 188.255, and now GJ is finally pulling up. A change in character, namely its direction, is evident in the short time frame. Although this transaction is a Buy in the grand scheme of things, we will only hold on to it for a few weeks at most if he makes some daily character changes. The precise point at which I will exit is still a...

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In other words, we have a choch (change of character) until the 4 hour time frame, which means the pair's direction will change. I'm planning to sell, and I'll have a few entries—one that opens a few positions in case the picture entry doesn't materialize—because, you know, that doesn't happen every time you collect that liquidity that's up. I will attempt to...

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I had been waiting for this trade for a very long time, and now I am finally beginning to realize that I am heading in the right direction. On time frames such as fifteen minutes, thirty minutes, one hour, and four hours, we have a change of character on the market, which is mean. On a daily basis, he makes a wonderful pullback, and it is now time to go back in...

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As I say I will update you with a Gold. So this is setup for me now... let me see, usually I get out on Tp1, if play well and agressive, I will let him run even more.