This might be a place for a dead cat bounce? It doesn't seem like it considering the Ukraine - Russia conflict.
Cup and handle look on this petroleum play. Looks ready for a breakout.
Seems like NAKD got some good volume on Friday. Are small caps about to go wild? It's above all recent AVWAPS after a gap up.
I see confluence with two swing high-low fib levels that confluence around $310. I think that $300 Jan 21, 2022 Calls currently at $4.35 might be a solid idea. I chose this date based on the rate at which is has been progressing lately.
Looks like we've closed below the 50 ma and under this AVWAP. I think we start that correction we've all been waiting for. See AVWAPS below for supports all the way down to $425.
We've now closed below the 50 ma and under the next AVWAP. I think we are about to test the next AVWAP for support at $4340. At that point we'd be deep in a volume profile gap that might bring us down to $4250. This feels just like last year's Sep - Oct correction.
$SPY #OPEX The pattern seems to be that the market gets flushed into option expiration week. We usually undercut and rally over the pivot of the prior rip after that. Be ready for the bounce. Caveat: This month presents a greater seasonal danger than these recent recoveries.
$DOCU power of three play with all ema's stacked together. Positive earnings reaction. Targeting 1.618 fib extension. Trigger: Price > $314.5 Target: $325 Trade Vehicle Options (2-4 weeks out): 9/17 $325C @ $3.60 9/24 $325C @ $5.35 10/1 $325C @ $7.50
Thesis: Possible run into earnings and price action moving towards top of this channel and 1.618 fib extension. 16K OI shows existing interest. Trade Vehicle: $165 11/19 $3.18
Taking 9/17 $115 calls currently at $1.09 if we break out of this local pivot with trigger being price > 112.
Thesis: Breaks through local pivot. Trigger: Price > $743 Trade vehicle: $760 calls currently at $7.10.
$PFE 9/17 $50 $0.19 Looks bullish, vaccines are all looking like they are going to run together. (MRNA, PFE, NVAX etc)
Futures look like they are heading to AVWAP. They have touched the top of the channel so it could be coming down. Seasonality we are due for a pullback.
9/17 $180 CALLS currently going for $0.26. All vaccines are looking like they want to run (PFE, NVAX, MRNA) etc
DDD looks very nice. It's been consolidating in this pattern. Above or below the marked key levels will be a trigger to go long/short.
Thesis: Touched bottom of channel and working back towards top line. Could be that big players drove this down and got in cheaper before earnings. Semis look good. Trigger: >$74.75 w/ high rel vol Trade Vehicles: Degen: 9/17 $77.5C @$0.37 Conservative: 10/18 $80C $1.28
Price is sandwiched between AVWAPs. Broke out of falling wedge. In a cup shape.
It pains me to say this as its my largest holding but I went short on $SE yesterday at the top because of three reasons. (1) it was curling upwards in an exponential fashion looking like it wanted to put in one blow off top before it fell. (2) It was extended from the 8 ema the same amount it always is when it pulls back. and (3) The market is ripe for a pull...