NYMEX:RB1! While the U.S. stock market performed miserably lately, energy commodities have a banner year. According to the American Automobile Association (AAA), the national average gasoline price reached an all-time high of $5.016 a gallon on June 14th. Diesel logged its own record on June 19th, at $5.816 a gallon. Crude oil price hike is certainly a major...
CBOT:ZW1! What do Gold, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat have in common? Their prices all go up in a global crisis. In other words, these strategically important commodities are positively correlated with the level of risk. “Risk Up, Price Up; and Risk Down, Price Down”. Everyday non-professional traders (NonProfs) usually have a disadvantage...
CME_MINI:ES1! In the past six months, the S&P 500 has fallen from an all-time high of 4,818.62 to a fresh 52-week low of 3,636.82, down 1,181.8 points, or -24.5%. Following a brutal week, the U.S. stock market rose on Tuesday, as investors weighed the Fed rate hikes amid rising fears of a recession. The Dow rose 2.15%. The S&P popped 2.45%, and the Nasdaq...
CBOT:ZS1! Last week, I laid the groundwork for a new idea on event-driven strategy. Event-Driven Strategy Focusing on Global Crisis. Three-factor Commodities Futures Pricing Model and Game Theory Matrix were introduced, illustrated with my own experience trading COMEX Gold Futures (GC) during the US-China trade conflict in 2019. My idea was featured on...
COMEX:GC1! While the US-China trade friction started in 2018, I quickly observed a pattern similar to chess moves by two Grandmasters. President Donald Trump first initiated tariff on Chinese goods exporting to the U.S. Then, President Xi of China responded by taxing imported goods originated from the U.S. Infuriated, Trump raised the stake by higher tariff rates...