JinDao_Tai

JinDao_Tai

The S&P 500 just logged its best quarterly performance since Q4 2023 , surging on optimism around global trade negotiations and growing expectations that the Fed may begin cutting rates as early as September. US futures are green this morning, thanks to developments like Canada backing off digital taxes, ongoing dialogues with China ahead of the July 9 deadline,...

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Fundamentals First: Why is Gold Falling While DXY is Too? Normally, gold and the U.S. dollar share an inverse relationship (which means, when DXY weakens, gold rises). But recently, this correlation has broken down, and that divergence is a loud macro signal. What’s Happening: Trade Deal Optimism: Headlines suggest the U.S. is nearing a resolution with...

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Currently, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $104,800. Up slightly but still digesting a sharp reversal that rattled short-term bulls. Recent Price Action: Rejection From $112K Back on 22nd May, Bitcoin surged to a new high near $112,000, fueled by bullish momentum, institutional flows, and strong on-chain accumulation. However, that breakout was swiftly...

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Moody’s has downgraded the US credit rating for the first time since 2011, citing rising debt levels and long-term fiscal challenges. This move sends a clear warning signal about America’s fiscal path and adds fresh uncertainty to markets already navigating interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical risks. Focus on the US 10-Year Treasury Yield as the market’s...

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Japan’s Q1 GDP came in worse than expected: -0.2% QoQ (-0.7% annualized). Weak consumption, soft exports, and a fading external boost despite a weak yen isn't a great combo for Asia’s largest export economy. The Nikkei 225 reacted immediately, and the H4 chart is starting to reflect deeper structural pressure. 🔍 Technical Outlook: - Price reversed from the...

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The Nasdaq 100 has bounced, but under the surface, the “Magnificent Seven” are no longer marching in sync. And this divergence matters, especially if you’re trading QQQ or using it as a momentum proxy. ⚔️ Leadership Rotation in Real Time - Nvidia (NVDA): Still a beast. Making fresh highs, clear institutional momentum. - Microsoft (MSFT): Quiet strength — not...

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Trump's “Liberation Day” reciprocal tariff announcement triggered a sharp selloff in the S&P 500 on the 2nd April. A classic policy shock! But the market has since clawed back every point. So what now? Let’s break it down by strategy. 🔎 Long-Term Investors: Stay the Course 1) This recovery reinforces one truth: When you own quality businesses, Volatility ≠...

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In the earlier analysis, the expectation is for DXY to trade slightly lower to the round number level of 100. With Gold's inverse relationship with the US Dollar, anticipating further downside for the DXY should mean that we expect to see some upside on XAUUSD. However, the current price action on Gold is still signalling further downside. The good thing is...

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Overnight, the DXY traded lower, driven by 2 main factors. 1) The release of lower-than-expected CPI data at 2.3% 2) Rejection of the long-term bearish trendline and the area of confluence formed by the 61.8% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels from the longer term. If the DXY breaks below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the shorter term, we could...

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10th Feb 2025 DXY: Could trade down to 108 (or consolidate here) before climbing higher to 108.90 or 109 (61.8%). NZDUSD: Sell 0.5620 SL 20 TP 70 (hesitation at 0.5580) AUDUSD: In abit of a range, look for test and reaction at 0.6363 resistance level. GBPUSD: Sell 1.2350 SL 30 TP 85 (watch the trendline) EURUSD: Sell 1.0290 SL 25 TP 65 USDJPY: Buy 152.40 SL 40...

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6th Feb 2025 DXY: Retracing from 107 support area, look for reaction between 107.90 and 108.30, above 108.30 could trade up to 109. NZDUSD: Sell 0.5640 SL 20 TP 50 AUDUSD: Buy 0.6280 SL 30 TP 80 (hesitation at 0.6330) GBPUSD: Straddle Rates Decision Pending Sell 1.2430 SL 30 TP 100 Buy 1.2510 SL 30 TP 100 EURUSD: Sell 1.0320 SL 30 TP 90 USDJPY: Buy 153.65 SL...

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5th Feb 2025 DXY: Trading lower, needs to break 107.50 to retest 107 round number support level. NZDUSD: Wait and look for reaction at 0.57 resistance area AUDUSD: Buy 0.6280 SL 25 TP 80 (hesitation at 0.6325) GBPUSD: Buy 1.2530 SL 30 TP 80 EURUSD: Sell 1.0440 SL 30 TP 100 USDJPY: Looking for reaction at current support level. Buy 154.10 or Sell 152.30 (SL...

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3rd Feb 2025 DXY: If price stays above 109.30, could see it trade up to 110, beyond that 111 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5530 SL 25 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6080 SL 30 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2230 SL 40 TP 120 (hesitation at 1.2164) EURUSD: Sell 1.0160 SL 50 TP 150 USDJPY: Buy 156 SL 35 TP 70 EURJPY: Sell 159.40 SL 50 TP 100 GBPJPY: Sell 191.70 SL 50 TP 110 USDCHF: Wait and...

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20th January 2025 DXY: Currently below 109.40, break above, could trade up to 110 (previous swing high), beyond that, strong resistance at 111 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 25 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6170 SL 15 TP 40 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2150 SL 15 TP 40 EURUSD: Sell 1.0310 SL 30 TP 110 USDJPY: Buy 156.70 SL 40 TP 120 EURJPY: Sell 161.10 SL 40 TP 120 GBPJPY: Looking for...

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The possibility of EUR/USD reaching parity remains a realistic scenario under current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions. 1. Diverging Monetary Policies In light of Tump 2.0 and the potential impact of increasing inflation due to the introduction of tariffs, the Federal Reserve is seen to be backing down on its path to keep cutting rates. On the...

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6th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating along 108.90, could test 108.50 (61.8%) before trading higher again to 109 round number (below 108.50 could test bottom of channel) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 30 TP 60 GBPUSD: Wait for reaction at 1.25 round number resistance level EURUSD: Look for rejection of 1.04, Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP...

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12th November DXY: Could consolidate/retrace slightly, but for continuation higher to 106.10, beyond that, could retest resistance of 106.45 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5950 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Sell 0.65 SL 25 TP 100 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2785 SL 30 TP 100 EURUSD: Sell 1.0590 SL 40 TP 140 USDJPY: Buy 154.90 SL 35 TP 110 USDCHF: Buy 0.8845 SL 30 TP 75 USDCAD: Buy 1.40 SL 40...

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6th November President Trump!!! DXY: Further strength expected to 105.45, could retrace briefly, needs to stay above 104.80. (beyond 105.45 could reach 106) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5935 SL 20 TP 75 (hesitation at 0.5895) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 25 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2810 SL 30 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0765 SL 25 TP 90 USDJPY: Buy 154.40 SL 45 TP 90 USDCHF: Buy 0.8710...