New Zealand is expected to announce whether their isolation restrictions will be relaxed next week. The COVID-19 curve shows new cases have been reducing over recent days. Most cases are in the 20-29 year age bracket. However, New Zealand is showing increased fatalities in aged rest homes where less testing is being performed on senior citizens. New Zealand has a...
With a similar population level to New York State, Australia shows a very different COVID-19 curve. Australia’s lack of land borders, and quick adoption of New Zealand’s isolation protocols, has resulted in a flattened COVID-19 curve. Once again however, it is still within 28 days of the peak level, so the current restrictions should be kept in place to avoid a bounce.
It’s still early days yet, but New York has shown consecutive reduced new cases of Coronavirus. With a 28 day cycle time for this virus, really you should wait at least a month after the peak before relaxing the isolation rules.
Green Histogram indicates a daily improvement (i.e. fewer COVID-19 fatalities). Please note chart may lag actual counts by 2 days due to discrepancies in source data.
Incremental Indicator Histogram shows the curve that needs to be flattened. Green Indicates an improvement (i.e. decreased daily count). Please note this indicator is lagging by up to 2 days due to discrepancies in the source data.
Spain has begun to show a reduction in COVID-19 deaths (05-Apr-2020). Using the Upper Bollinger Band crossover point with a 21 day period and 2 Standard Deviation bandwidth this trend can be applied to other Countries to estimate how close they may be to recovery.