Killy_Mel

Killy_Mel

Health Care SPDR ETF is looking good on long term basis, testing its 5-year uptrend On long term basis - XLV is trading firmly in 10 year uptrend (above 1st upper standard deviation from 10-year mean), but due to the recent August selloff the price is now testing its 5-year uptrend. If the price holds above the fist upper standard deviation from 5-year mean, the...

Killy_Mel

Financial SPDR ETF is still recovering from 2008 losses and did not make it back in terms of prices. On long term basis - XLF has only recently crossed back the 10-year mean upwards (now at 21.50) and have been in 5-year uptrend until the recent August selloff. Currently it is trading within 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean, showing no macro trend. On...

Killy_Mel

Energy SPDR ETF is at macro uncertainty with a prospect of continued fall (much like the oil market) On long term basis - XLE is trading below its 10-year mean at 68.5, signalling uncertainty - as price close to a long term means indicates an outlier event, with institutional traders unsure of what to do with the stock. The price is also close to a potential...

Killy_Mel

Consumer Staples SPDR ETF is looking good on both short term and long term basis. On long term basis - XLP trades in both 5 and 10 year uptrend, as the price stands firmly above 1st upper standard deviations from both 5 and 10 year means It has tested its 5-year trend during the august selloff and held it successfully. On short term basis - XLP shows no trends...

Killy_Mel

Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF is looking good on both short term and long term basis. On long term basis - XLY trades in both 5 and 10 year uptrend, as the price stands firmly above 1st upper standard deviations from both 5 and 10 year means It has tested its 5-year trend during the august selloff and held it successfully. On short term basis - XLY shows no...

Killy_Mel

Despite all the hype raised about fed printing 3.5 trillion USD during times of economic stimulus, the real amount of help to economy is much smaller - it is approximately 900 billion USD The rest of "printed" money (2.6 trillion USD) is held at the Fed or traded on federal funds market by the recipients of the stimulus (key US financial institutions, who...

Killy_Mel

Looking at the Export and Import data of the last several years we can assume that the US is currently changing its course from consumption oriented to export oriented economy. The change will not be overnight and may take up to several decades, but eventually we can see the US trade deficit gradually erased. CURRENT SITUATION: On the export side, we can see...

Killy_Mel

Over the last week S&P500 has broken above both 1-year and quarterly downtrend borders, marked by the lower 1st standard deviations from the 1-year and quarterly years respectively It already happened back in September, but this time the downtrends are most likely over - the price tagged the quarterly mean, thus cancelling the quarterly downtrend completely The...

Killy_Mel

USDRUB has finally managed to end its upward trend, started the begining of June 2015 The price level has shifted - before uptrend USDRUB was trading about 55, now it is trading north of 60. The end of the uptrend was marked by the price falling below quarterly mean and within 1st standard deviation from 1-year mean. Thus currently the pair is range-bound, with...

Killy_Mel

Despite all the fuss and fears about US stock market recently, on macro basis SPX looks fairly good. The index did break its 5-year uptrend (in relation to 260 week mean - now at 2015) during August selloff and for now stays below its border, However the price did not even test is 10-year uptrend (in relation to 520 week mean). What it tells us so far that the...

Killy_Mel

It is a very interesting and highly explosive situation now on WTI OIL market Price has been trending laterally since the start of September, causing volatility on quarterly basis to contract unusually tight (measured by 1.25 standard deviations from quarterly (66 day) mean) It means that when price eventually breaks from the 1st standard deviation, a move in...

Killy_Mel

Finalizing our Dow Jones overview is Disney - and it is doing it on a positive note! DIS is one the best-looking stock from our Dow Jones overview - on par with Nike and UNH, also Viza. On long term perspective it trades firmly above upper 1st standard deviation from 5 and 10 year means - which means that long term uptrends are well in progress. On short term...

Killy_Mel

For WallMart stocks, 2015 was not a good year so far... Trading between macro means on long term basis, price signalling uncertainty. Price has recently failed 5-year mean at 69 and is now between it and 10-year mean at 60. No trend on macro basis is an outlier, indicating that currently long term institutional investors are unsure regarding this company. On...

Killy_Mel

VIZA is looking good both on long term and short term perspective On long term basis price is in firm 5-year uptrend, trending above 1st upper standard deviation from 5- year mean. The stock is traded relatively recently, so there is no way yet to measure its performance against 10-year mean. On short term basis the picture confirms the macro uptrend - slope of...

Killy_Mel

At least stock price wise, not all is looking good for Verizon... Trading between macro means on long term basis, price signalling uncertainty. Price has recently failed 5-year mean at 44 and is now between it and 10-year mean at 38. No trend on macro basis is an outlier, indicating that currently long term institutional investors are unsure regarding this...

Killy_Mel

United Health is one the best-looking stock from our Dow Jones overview - on par with Nike. On long term perspective it trades firmly above upper 1st standard deviation from 5 and 10 year means - which means that long term uptrends are well in progress. On short term basis the long term picture is confirmed by the slope of 1-year mean. The only short term risk...

Killy_Mel

GBPUSD has slightly fell outiside 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean, however amid strongly compressing volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations from the weekly mean), indicating more probability to revert upwards to the mean than continue falling. Traders can take long positions at re-tag of the 1st standard deviation from outside at 1.5160 -...

Killy_Mel

United Technologies in a very risky situation... On long term basis price is trading between 10-year and 5-year means. Price close to macro means is actually an outlier, an indication of uncertainty of major market participants and investors regarding the stock. On short term basis price is currently on downward risk, as it trades below the 1st standard...