EUR tends to bottom with rounding pattern. Is another forming?
NFP will make or break this. Volume falling.
Been watching this for a number of weeks. If the flash crash candle is ignored, there is potentially a diamond reversal pattern forming. Its not the most reliable pattern and difficult to trade. But when it does work, the upswing tends to be aggressive. With all the poor Aussie fundamental backdrop and rates differential v US, it had held 70 for more 6 months....
Failure rate of diamond reversal is high although moving averages and other technicals do suggest the more likely move is to the upside. Whilst the failure is common when it does hold the swing to the upside is generally very strong.
reading it together with RSI and slow stoch, there is a good chance crude has hit an important bottom
Watch weekly slow stochastic which crossed this week
Long term bottom maybe in place. Monthly divergence appeared 3 times 32 years - 1986, 1993, 1998. Each formed the base of a multi month run up. 2015 is fourth time.
Crude maintains upward pressure as weekly MACD crossed Inverted H&S forming. Break out of downward broadening wedge nears. Bears trapped yesterday Stay long - min target 65
Bounced last week. Next 2 weeks critical to continuation. Must close above 50 next week. Seasonality favors long as we head into Feb.