The final call was on the peak of 29 September. Looking back, good call (hope it helped!). Down 37% From 3rd & Final Sell Call. Updates 1 to 3 attached.
Original Idea Attached. TCP Transaction Capital - up strongly today (+3.92%) on above-average volume. Original medium term portfolio thesis motivated by strong technical structure and management's track record of delivering value for s/holders. The share higher by 33.8% over the 8 months. TCP Transaction Capital - up strongly today (+3.92%) on above-average...
Omnia OMN. Medium term portfolio view, based on daily chart. Hitting 8000c in the last two days. Has advanced 47% over the 7 months . Original idea attached.
Target exceeded (original idea attached) with high of 3865c on 01 April for a move of +11%. Today the share is showing relative strength as it trades +2%. It trades close to 52-week highs and has the potential to break out however it could also be a 'false breakout' as there's a downside gap to be filled. I'm monitoring. Looking back, this has been a great...
Trade Idea Update: Global X Uranium ETF (URA). Closing higher by a further 5.86% in the U.S a few hours ago. In the 7 weeks since publication, a gain of +24%. Major Constituent Movers Since: - Cameco +45% - Sprott Physical Uranium +41% - Nexgen Energy +40% Medium term traders can look to bank profits at the open in the U.S later today. Original idea attached.
My GND long idea is higher by 52% over the 11 months. It looks like the upward momentum is in place, however traders who have been in from the 470c level could use the higher levels to partially reduce. NOT saying it can't go higher! I just like when my clients to bank profits:) Original idea attached.
An extract from this morning's commentary: "Currently Trading 2.5 to 3x Standard Deviation (200-Period)".
Update: S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) - trading into support and basing before advancing +21% over the two sessions. Coincides with the S&P 500 rejection at swing highs (resistance) & short term unwind. The US Federal Reserve's Lael Brainard suggesting a 50bps hike & rapid reduction of the FED's balance sheet as soon as May. Original idea attached.
Received a query on the name, so I thought I'd also update it here: Hulamin HLM - it's had a strong run over the 15-17 months and the weekly momentum looks to be in tact. Moderate resistance around this 490c level which is the prior support and breakdown level. If the share clears and holds above 495c then we could see 610 to 620c over the medium to long term....
Received a query on the name, so I thought I'd also update it here: Merafe Resources MRF - Now trading 190c, this is another name which our analysis managed flag in February of last year at 61c. Strong run over 1 and 2 years. Possibly some resistance around these highs. My view is that with the strong advance, the reward to risk is less favorable than in...
S&P 500 E-mini index Future (Current: 4540) US equities ending the last day of the first quarter with a negative close. Yesterday's sell-off accelerated into the close with the spot index closing lower by 1.56%, while the Futures was lower by 1.42%. As noted on Tuesday morning, the long side reward to-risk had become unattractive following the strong rally since...
S&P 500 Volatility Index | Risk-taking has become elevated in the short term which has led to volatility declining. Reviewing the daily chart, we note that since Q4 2021, the retracements have, on average been -48%. A test of the incline support would result another 48% pullback and an opportunity to buy volatility. The preferred vehicle is call options or a...
Strong run since last week Monday. $389 to $431 at last night's close (high of $435 intraday). Bank half of your profits here. Original idea attached.
S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (4462) - Yesterday morning, the suggestion was NOT to chase the the move higher in the index. Throughout Wednesday's session, we saw S&P Futures being sold to close at the lows of the day, with 4514 being the level at which buyers have made their presence known over the two sessions. Small green in early Asian trade however the long side...
Dead money since November 2021. Now ready to move as cup and handle formation develops? Pivot = $79.14. This is the level which it must clear and hold. Stop = $72.63 Target: $94.24 Also above daily and quarterly pivot.
The strong upward trend has been a gift for longs. The pair now well above my target. If you are looking trends (and some diversification from equities), the FX market is one of those place where you'll find them. A great example of riding the 8 x 21-EMA. Original Idea Attached
S&P 500 Index Future (4346) | At the top of the week I discussed the falling wedge technical formation which considered a bullish setup. On Tuesday we saw the lower boundary of this formation being tested with a subsequent two-day rallying that has pushed the index toward the upper boundary which also serves as the downward trend line resistance. The two-day...
The attached chart highlights the S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF Relative To the S&P 500 High Beta ETF where we note the ratio/price emerging from a 12-month base formation following a downward trend that was in place from the March 2020 lows. Why is this chart important? The ratio helps investors identify a leading factor/style which influences sector/style...