LagunitaLLC

LagunitaLLC

FA There are huge conflicts among the government system (FED, Treasury, IRS, and Trump). - Relief checks arriving on April 13th: there are around 150 million taxpayers, but 70 million of them have direct deposit. More than half of the people will receive checks. However, the IRS capacity is 20 million checks per month. So some folk will receive check really late,...

LagunitaLLC

FA There are huge conflicts among the government system (FED, Treasury, IRS, and Trump). - Relief checks arriving on April 13th: there are around 150 million taxpayers, but 70 million of them have direct deposit. More than half of the people will receive checks. However, the IRS capacity is 20 million checks per month. So some folk will receive check really late,...

LagunitaLLC

FA Key things we use to forecast: + Unemployment claims data will be released at 8:30 am. + US Covid-19 caves have surpassed 200,000 + Asian and EU markets Things that Trump did to cover the unemployment rates and pay cuts: + The Government issued a loan called "PPP". The goal is to relieve the Cov-19's impact on the economy. + How to qualify: any businesses that...

LagunitaLLC

FA Key things we use to forecast: + Unemployment claims data will be released at 8:30 am. + US Covid-19 caves have surpassed 200,000 + Asian and EU markets Things that Trump did to cover the unemployment rates and pay cuts: + The Government issued a loan called "PPP". The goal is to relieve the Cov-19's impact on the economy. + How to qualify: any businesses that...

LagunitaLLC

FA: 2 things might impact the trend tomorrow: + China's economy data + ADP Payroll data will be released - Side notes: Trump extended the guiding line for Covid-19 social distancing until April 30th. - Some governors extended "Shelter in place" order until April 30th, schools will be closed until May 4th for further notice. -Disaster loan $10,000 are being...

LagunitaLLC

FA: 2 things might impact the trend tomorrow: + China's economy data + ADP Payroll data will be released - Side notes: Trump extended the guiding line for Covid-19 social distancing until April 30th. - Some governors extended "Shelter in place" order until April 30th, schools will be closed until May 4th for further notice. -Disaster loan $10,000 are being...

LagunitaLLC

We will make it short: + Consumer Index will be released tomorrow ( 03/31/2020 @10:00 am) + ADP payroll will be released (04/01/2020 @8:30 am) + Weekly unemployment claims (04/02/2020 @8:30 am) + Employments status (04/03/2020 around 10:00 am) Fed pumps: - They will switch from scheduled buying to actively buying without a clear day. TA: a small upward movement to...

LagunitaLLC

We will make it short: + Consumer Index will be released tomorrow ( 03/31/2020 @10:00 am) + ADP payroll will be released (04/01/2020 @8:30 am) + Weekly unemployment claims (04/02/2020 @8:30 am) + Employments status (04/03/2020 around 10:00 am) Fed pumps: - They will switch from scheduled buying to actively buying without a clear day. TA: a small upward movement to...

LagunitaLLC

FA: It is getting harder to predict the movement of the current market. Everything is possible. +Bullish side: - Fed will step in when the market goes red and they won't stop until everything get back to normal. Basically, they are trying to prevent the market crash and combat recession by creating more opportunities for businesses to grow larger. However, they...

LagunitaLLC

FA: It is getting harder to predict the movement of the current market. Everything is possible. +Bullish side: - Fed will step in when the market goes red and they won't stop until everything get back to normal. Basically, they are trying to prevent the market crash and combat recession by creating more opportunities for businesses to grow larger. However, they...

LagunitaLLC

We have already confirmed a recession! Bonds market will be tumbled soon. So sit tight, and save money for essentials, limit spending, because your job will be in danger. Good Luck and Stay safe.

LagunitaLLC

So for the last three day, the market seemed to act abnormally against the bad news, which are flooding the market right now. We have been trying find the reasons for this. Here what we know so far: + Firstly (technical), the market is heavily involved by the Government (duh). Please notice the blue lines. These are resistances lines created by AI, indicates when...

LagunitaLLC

So for the last three day, the market seemed to act abnormally against the bad news, which are flooding the market right now. We have been trying find the reasons for this. Here what we know so far: + Firstly (technical), the market is heavily involved by the Government (duh). Please notice the blue lines. These are resistances lines created by AI, indicates when...

LagunitaLLC Updated 

Just as we expected, the bills weren't official yet as Dem and Rep are fighting over. Here is the simple version of the conflict: + Dem is fighting over 2 things on the bills. First, the unemployment benefit (extra money/pension for jobless worker). Second: the job security: the employers can not fire or lay off their employees during this time, which also...

LagunitaLLC

Just as we expected, the bills weren't official yet as Dem and Rep are fighting over. Here is the simple version of the conflict: + Dem is fighting over 2 things on the bills. First, the unemployment benefit (extra money/pension for jobless worker). Second: the job security: the employers can not fire or lay off their employees during this time, which also...

LagunitaLLC Updated 

Tomorrow could be another round for "bullish" team as Trump's relief bills come to final. The government will likely to announce this news. Plus another 3% possible. However, we haven't found the official version of the bills yet. (Hopefully Dem and Rep are not arguing over it again). Another day? Still, COVID-19 is still a threat and businesses are suffering from...

LagunitaLLC

Tomorrow could be another round for "bullish" team as Trump's relief bills come to final. The government will likely to announce this news. Plus another 3% possible. However, we haven't found the official version of the bills yet. (Hopefully Dem and Rep are not arguing over it again). Another day? Still, COVID-19 is still a threat and businesses are suffering from...

LagunitaLLC

Tomorrow will be a rally (temporary) as some institutions signal a "buy". This due to the decline of the VIX index, which is a "fear" index. In a nutshell: whenever the VIX goes up, the market goes down; the VIX goes down, the market goes up. Please check the pattern of Dotcom and 2008 financial crash, However, there is still no evidence for a "buy" judging on...