Looking at Divergences here. ES and YM are aligned with NQ lagging and for now showing weakness that could lead to a bearish move lower into the winter months The argument against price action clues here is the election and the macro regime still been bullish long term, which paints the picture NQ will also at some point move to align with ES and YM
Although from a Macro perspective and the inclusion of fundamentals we indeed look bullish across the equity space on the HTF. I'm looking at this possibly been a turning point for ES ans thus the other equities. Note the 3 week creation of a small inverse candle if closed below often leads to a nice downturn. So It is something Im keeping a close eye on with...
I’m looking for some downside on ES. Ideally looking for shorts to setup within the context and framework of the models I use to engage with price. The first target and thesis I have provided below. Divergence at the highs leading into a new month. Of course this is a counter tide trade where by ultimately NQ is lagging ES and YM so the safer bet is always to...
We are fast approaching the previous NFP data point (whilst NQ sits below its previous NFP already). As I said on the NFP analysis the majority are anticipating a melt up on NFP. Which does make sense to squeeze the shorts this week but I still see us trading lower to atleast take the close proximity liquidity at the low and even trade below the previous NFP data...
Expectations around NFP, many will likely sit on the side of expecting NQ to squeeze some shorts today on the NFP release. As we are still High timeframe Bullish. Liquidity is also clear in how its been built above current price with the sloping downtrend outlined. Stops are positioned there but also the divergence at the highs seen on Wednesday and Thursday...