See link below for previous analysis Since i started covering Quilter I have stated that a bottom looks in at 1661. What followed was a prolonged period of sideways movement but price always held above 1661. The breakout towards the end of 2024 has been decisive and the recent consolidation looks to be a good entry point as the bulls seem to have the...
See link below for previous analysis. AVI has trended upwards strongly since the last analysis, adding conviction to the Triple Bottom reversal outlook. The stock is now facing resistance between 9000 to 9200 and a clear breakout could take the stock towards 11000cps. I am favoring the bulls with corrections providing "buy the dip" opportunities.
See link below for previous analysis. There's a case to be made that the five wave decline from 3150 is complete. If that is the case, 914cps should hold and the bear market bottom is in. I am looking at the advance from 914 to 1218 as wave (i) and the pullback as wave (ii); wave (ii) may not yet be complete but should terminate above 914 for this bullish...
See link below for previous analysis. Argent has had a strong run from the 2015 bottom at 302cps. The advance is unfolding as a five wave Impulse labelled wave (1) to (5); the stock is currently in wave 5 of (3) with wave 4 having terminated at 1101cps. Wave 5 of (3) itself looks to be unfolding as a five wave impulse that is currently in wave {iii}; wave {iii}...
See link below for the long-term view. Looking at price action from 14662: The advance to 20300 is a leading diagonal for wave 1. The correction to 15503 is a zig zag for wave 2. The stock is now in the early stages of wave 3 which can only be a five wave impulse. Waves {i to v} in green give the idealized road map for wave 3. 15503 is the secondary...
This is the first time of ARM. The big picture is one of very volatile swings in price as can be seen by the points and percentage changes in price when the stock is in bear mode. 2005 to 2008 was a great bull market where all one had to do was buy and hold. 2008 to 2016 was a big bear market that unfolded in a three wave zig zag pattern. The advance from 2016...
See link below for previous analysis. Netcare recently broke below 1130 invalidating the outlook I had that a bottom was in at that level. There's a minor adjustment in the wave count with wave 4 of (C) a flat pattern and wave 5, starting from 1738cps, looks to be taking the shape of an ending diagonal. As to how much lower wave 5 can go is anyone's guess but I...
See link below for previous analysis. Little has changed with Hulamin since the last analysis, 6 months ago. If anything, price is consolidating further in a Contracting Triangle; a contracting triangle is a neutral pattern and as price consolidates towards the apex, the breakout tends to be more violent. I remain neutral until we get a clear breakout.
See link below for previous analysis. Oceana traded bullishly as previously forecasted. The stock has found resistance at the Double Bottom Neckline zone between 7450 to 7990 cps. Price has consolidated at this range which indicates that the bulls do not want to give the initiative. A clear break beyond 8000cps, preferably on high volume, will validate the...
See link below for previous analysis. Price has breached the 5824 neckline. Now, there are two ways to interpret this pattern: 1- the tradition way; in this case this is a Double Top and the price target is 3600cps. 2- the Elliot Wave way; this is a flat and price can resume the uptrend. The only certainty is uncertainty; this is the why it is key to think in...
See link below for previous analysis. Sasol did not take long to confirm that the down move was not complete. The bounce from 13226 to 17380 is for wave (iv); the current sell-off is for wave (v) of . The earliest indication that wave (v) is done will be a break above 17380. It's a bit late to be bearish and at this mature stage of the trend, I am more...
See link below for previous analysis. Truworths has met resistance in the 8441 to 8529cps zone. Though premature to call this a Double Top, how price action reacts around the 6697cps neckline will hold the key for the short-term outlook. I am neutral for now.
See link below for previous analysis. Gold and JSE Gold gold stock have been on a strong run lately. DRD clearly did not get the memo as the stock is trending up but very slowly comapared to its peers and with the tailwinds provided by the gold price. When such a disconnect occurs, one needs to take a deep look into the fundamentals which is beyond the scope of...
See link below for previous analysis. FirstRand has found the 7700-8000cps zone hard to push through. The two sell-offs at this zone give what can be viewed as a Double Top. Price has recently been consolidating in a contracting triangle which now looks to be breaking down. The trend looks bearish and my initial target is 5000cps.
See link below for previous analysis. A look at the bigger picture of ABSA shows that the stock has a very strong resistance zone between 20371 to 21100cps. The stock has tested this zone on three occasions giving what can be viewed as a Triple Top over 7 years. Interestingly, the bull market from March 2020 has culminated in a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern...
See link below for previous analysis Purple Group released its interim group results for the six months ended 29 February 2024 yesterday and the market loved it. Highlights: -Group revenue increased by 29.3% to R188.8 million -Group operating expenses decreased by 0.4% to R141.8 -Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders of R10.9 million, compared to a loss...
See link below for previous analysis. City Lodge has not taken off as I anticipated. The stock has continued to consolidate sideways without a clear pattern though we have two areas of support and a resistance zone. I have no view at this stage and I will sit on my hands on this one.
See link below for previous analysis Barlo stock has caught a strong bid at 5883 and the rally looks strong. This give me confidence that wave C is probably complete at 5883. Not one to chase momentum, though the stock can continue higher with little pullbacks, i would like to see consolidation or a three wave pullback that holds above 5883 to join the...