MMOTA_

MMOTA_

Man...what a crazy week last week. With the Elections, CPI and the drama with FTX, it was a rollercoaster for sure. The FTX story was something else. But you know, during recessions, entities get exposed. Same thing happened with Enron in the 2000 bubble, the banks in 2008-2009 and now crypto. As the famous Warren Buffett quote says: "A rising tide floats all...

MMOTA_

Good morning!!! Wow....just wow. What a day yesterday. Caught me way off guard, that's for sure. The CPI report really just lit the markets on fire bringing it back to that upward channel from the October 13th low. A few days ago I was already mentally preparing myself that this market could go touch 4000 or even 4100. I just wasn't expecting to get there so soon....

MMOTA_ Updated 

Good morning! Here we are, Election Day has passed and we get the CPI report tomorrow. Couple things about the Mid Terms. Generally, the markets like it when Democrats have partial control and Republicans partial control. The expectations are, that the Republicans will win the House. If that happens, that could be a good thing for the markets. At the time of...

MMOTA_ Updated 

Good morning. Yesterday's action brought some carry over/follow through from Friday, finishing the day with about a 1% gain. We have three types of patterns going on right now in the markets'. QQQ is telling us to sell, DIA is telling us to buy and SPY going nowhere. We bounced off the 20 day, stopping at the 50 day on SPX. So the question is: Is this ABC...

MMOTA_

Well, what a wild Friday. The market traded in a 3% range trying to digest the unemployment reports. Lots of mixed signals right now. So it looks like we're back in No Man's Land. Step back and still look at the bigger picture, we are still in a downtrend channel. We had three down days last week with a doji on Thursday and a bounce on Friday. Characteristics of a...

MMOTA_ Updated 

So we gapped down yesterday if you didn't notice. I guess the market didn't like what Powell had to say. But overall, yesterday had a even amount of buyers and sellers. What we're waiting for is the Octobers payroll number that's due to come out an hour before market open. Now, expected is 205k. If this number comes in higher than 205k, the market really isn't...

MMOTA_

Could it be that markets have been impatient? I think so. After watching yesterday's price action, I think the market gets the message now. Or do they? I need to see capitulation before I see a rally. But we're getting close. I've been thinking that the VIX needs to get to 40 or 50, and THAT would be my capitulation. So if that happened...what...we would get to...

MMOTA_

Good morning! Well.....yesterday's down day I'm assuming was because of the JOLTS Report. Employment openings for the month totaled 10.72 million. Estimated 9.85 million. So, well above. This is something the FED does not want to see. It doesn't help inflation. But again, everyone wants to hear what J Powell has to say today. What could happen after he speaks and...

MMOTA_

Good morning! Batteries are recharged for this week, as we have a very important day on Wednesday. THE FED SPEAKS. Not gonna lie, but Friday's action caught me off guard. As I watched the action, I still wasn't convinced. It still had the feeling of a hope rally. Now look, we can still push to about 3970ish to complete the ABC correction before rolling over. And...

MMOTA_

To recap how the market's ended yesterday, we had the DOW close at 0.61%, the S&P -0.61%, and the NASDAQ -1.63% (I think this even went positive at some point during trading hours). Something is holding this market up. You would think with all these bad tech earnings, the market would be coming down substantially more. But it's not. So is this market rally going...

MMOTA_

You know, I usually don't follow the DOW as much. I mean, I'll glance at it every day but I think the surge we've seen can't go unnoticed. The question is: Is this surge over? I mean, this thing blew right through the 50, through a resistance level and now it's looking like it wants to go touch the 200 day! Hey, if it does....it does. Two possible outcomes here...

MMOTA_

Yesterday, we finished with a nice green Bullish candle ahead of Google and Microsoft's earnings. Shortly afer the bell, Google fell about 6% and Microsoft around 2%. That's not catastrophic in any way, but it will be difficult for the markets to continue to rally without their participation. And that was only two out of the five large tech companies that make up...

MMOTA_ Updated 

If we push to 3860 or even 3900, I will consider entering a short position in this area. That yellow uptrend line is 10/13 low. So I'm thinking within the next couple hours we can jump above that upward trend line from the 10/13 low and then start to roll over before the end of the day. If we close today with a bullish candle, I'm going to continue to sit on my...

MMOTA_ Updated 

We got to 3800 yesterday and it's really testing resistances at this level. So do we move higher from here? If you look at the DOW, it's actually above it's 50 MA and at resistance as well. And yet, 74% of stock are still trading below their 50 MA. We are still in a Bear Market, so we have to remain Bearish. Did you look at the volume we had yesterday compared...

MMOTA_

I hope everyone had a nice weekend. Stepped away from the markets on Friday as I went to Ensenada Mexico to celebrate my grandfathers 90th birthday. Dude is still going strong and showing no signs of stopping! Always important to spend time with your family, be present in the moment and not always think about the markets. Now, let's get into it. Interesting week...

MMOTA_

After yesterday's candle, downside is looking more probable now. Bulls had a chance to stay above the 20 EMA, but were not successful. At the time of writing, Futures are trading at about 3645ish down 0.82%. Do we visit 3600 today? May 3580? We could dip down to 3570 and recover by EOD to finish back at 3645 or 3600. That would tell me that the market wants to...

MMOTA_

Hello 3700. We've been hanging out in this area for about a month now it feels like. And based on what I said yesterday, looks like the market needs more time to decide which way to go. So let's think about some things. We are technically still in a bear market and this also has the feel of a bear rally. Why? The day the CPI report came out, we gapped lower and...

MMOTA_

Yesterday I said I would sit on my hands if we closed above the 20 day moving average because that would make me a little more bullish. And, well, we did. So now what? This has been a great traders market with all the volatility we've had for a few months now. All we can do as traders, is trade the market in front of us. We are still in a Bear Market and below the...