We can easily see a spike up to ~ $64 on the VIX if these narratives continue to worsen in Ukraine. Correlations are approaching 1? VIX will soar.
Technical indicators are suggesting a short term target of $68 and a long term target of $38. I think $68 is highly probable. Short or buy puts to control movement down to $68, then take half off the table and let the rest ride down to $38.
5.00% Target on 2yr Yield using simple trend analysis. The Fed follows the two year, so once it hits 5%, the Fed will also stop tightening.
Mortgage rates will continue to rise, 7% is a conservative target.
If we see a stock selloff, AMZN could go down to the $1200-$1300 range
The beatings will continue until the Fed stops acting hawkish.
There is resistance at 4200, and it could hover around here until the Fed signals either continuation of hawkishness or a capitulation back to dovish ways. If hawkish, expect continuation down to 3900.
EURUSD Short, low .90s target. Under 1 could be tough, but once through it could go down as far as low .90s.
This is an aggressive target, a worst case scenario if you will, as the Fed will most likely capitulate to the market before ever reaching 2.4 %.
If Fed continues to be hawkish, 17k is feasible... and honestly, fair.
VIX has been under a strong downward trendline since the bloody Thursday spike in June. Yesterday it broke said trendline with a vengeance. Why? Could be numerous reasons; the shrinking Fed BS? COVID concerns? Bush league amateurs crossing the line of ludicrous irrational exuberance ?... No frame of reference... 8 year-olds, Dude... VIX Breakout $38.60 target.
VIX has been battered and beaten...Looking at the SPX , it has made a higher high today (20 May), however VIX did not make a lower low. This is a bullish divergence for the VIX . Put-to-call ratio hit a low today as well, bullish indicator for the VIX . I am calling target, but not sure on timing. My best guess is 2-4 weeks, but this could take a bit longer than...
$20.95 entry, $31.84 target, 52% gain, 3:1 reward/risk ratio. This is a Tom Demark trend analysis. Trade will be cancelled if on 4/29 ERI opens lower than trendline around $21, this indicates failed breakout. Trade will be cancelled if on 4/29 ERI does not make a higher high; it must break $24.31.
Using Tom Demark trend analysis, $28.2 target, stop loss at 41.5, risk/reward= 3. If VIX opens above trend-line, trade will be cancelled. If 4/27 session fails to make a lower low, trade will be cancelled.
Using Tom Demark trend analysis, $3.58 target. Ideally, entry @$2.67 on a pullback. Stop loss at $2.36, reward/risk= 3:1 CYDY is on a tear up around 50% in the last week, breaking a short term trend, and confirming upside breakout.