Mar 30: In the market nothing happens randomly. Elon releases the tweet at the moment when TSLA is doing a double bottom, which means it is in a positive momentum divergence. Besides tomorrow is the close of the month. The Tweet purpose is clear, it's a jumpstart trying to ignite an uptrend. The technical conditions are good for this. The question is how long...
Mar11: If the downtrend comes to a halt then TSLA will enter into a consolidation range, Too early to tell, but if the 190-210 range is broken to the upside a rally may be ignited and the 240-250 level will be a critical level for the dreadful Head and Shoulders pattern.. From the chart it can be seen that the average volume after the initial strong move to the...
This dip is very deep, if the value can't hold 205 then the 89 EMA will be broken in the daily and 205 will turn into resistance, which is what it looks like already. Let's remember the Feb 198-206 range the price used as a ballroom. If the trend is broken look for the middle channel support line around 2000 and a Sell in April year.
After the trend $AAPL has shown and breaking its own all time highs, it is finding resistance at 134. This is where the 1.618 Fib level is located. $AAPL needs to have a close above 134 and maintain it to break to the upside. The last red candle at the top is forming a bearish evening star, which would be confirmed with a LL-LH next week means the retracement...
$AA has been consolidating around 15.60, which makes it a choppy stock with LH-HL. There is no clear trend at this point. However the signs of the long term trend show weakness, both in the trend and momentum. It has tried to break the magic 18.00 value that would make it skyrocket, but after the double top the next attempt barely reached 15.90, Not enough and...
Feb03:Up,Down,Up,Down,Up ... Choppiness within the 198-206 range since this range was set on January 5th.Oil has bottomed so far, and this could be a game changer. But until this is confirmed and it breaks either above or below this range, we can expect more range trading weeks. The Trend indicator is positive meanwhile the Momentum indicators are negative,...
Jan13: Head and Shoulders forming. The triple momentum divergence is the signature of the H&S pattern. Even though Earnings was good, the market reaction was not so good. If this is the case then this could fall as low as 12.63 where the 50% retracement of the rally is marked. Keep an eye on the rotation of the fast ribbon (orange) if the price doesn't go back...
Jan09:Positive Momentum divergence. Support at 0.236 Fib (204), Still on the downtrend, but if this can hold this value there could be a leg that could reach the 0.382 Fib @220. Still too early to tell. If this support is broken then it can go as low as the 100% retracement at 177. The signal is a close above the 8 EMA.and rotation on the fast ribbon...
JAN08: Downtrend has taken the price to the Lower Channel Support Line, there is a positive momentum divergence. Look for the 0.236 Fib level, it is Resistance @28, if it goes above 28, it may reach 31. The two words of warning here is that the first move could be just a short squeeze due to short covering at this level and the second is Earnings is scheduled on...
DEC11:Inverted Head and Shoulders. If the Support above 204 can be maintained and enough buyers show up this recent drop can be recovered to the 208 level. It would be a good excuse to call it the Santa Claus Rally. Besides there is enough room between the 203 and 208 trading range. I used the 60 M chart This is not a long term position, since we are at the...
DEC11:Today looks like a short covering day, once the short buy back is over this down leg will rotate to the upside and it can resume its uptrend. Oversold and at the lower channel support line in a descending wedge pattern. I am looking for a rotation in the momentum indicators and a break above the 22.17 S/R level to enter long. Target at 24, Stop @20.50
DEC09:At the 23.50 Resistance Level. Above 55 and 144 EMA pair, in the green territory, Oversold with increasing momentum and officially reversing the trend to the upside. This year we didn't have the "Sell in May", we had the "Sell in April" month, and why not? last rally at the end of October was like too good, to the point that it makes me think we had already...
DEC08:If the support at 33 holds and short covering starts then this could take this stock back to the 39-40 level. There is a positive momentum divergence between the early november level and the current price. But the momentum by itself doesn't make money unless it moves the price on its direction. Entering right here is risky and it would be catching a...
DEC08:Multiple Tops at the 17.75 level, unable to break this historic level plus a weakening trend and a negative divergence make this stock to think it over before retrying the break above the 2011 levels. It looks like this will take a break before attempting a close above 18 again. It has support at the 14 level. I am bearish in the short term, looking for...
This stock has been severely hammered and the drop from the 70's level to the 20's has ridden the stock to almost a 100% Fib. Retracement. However it is starting to show some positive signs. There is a momentum divergence between the low on Oct 15th and the low today. It is still too early to declare a Bottom, but the volatility and the ATR metrics on this one...
Last L.O.W. level was at 103.79. The 101 level is where the .5Fib is reached and possibly a retracement back to 106 then it's up to buyers to jump in and take it up, or leave it and let the price fall back to the .5 Fib level again once the short covering is over.
What we recently saw in BABA was just an up leg that didn't have enough strength to break to the upside, So far we have had four weeks in a row with Lower Highs. Bulls who rode the uptrend until 120 are still holding on hope ignited by the two uplegs we've had so far, which is a normal behavior, that uptrend was very good (80-120), reality today is that it has...
Downtrend channel on the daily, Currently at the Mid Channel Zone. Trading Range 112-105. Above 112 it'll recover, below 105 downtrend continues. Target @105, Target 2 @ 101. Support on the 0.618Fib (105.88) above the 34 EMA. This level is key for a downtrend continuation. I expect a rebound on the 101 level since this is the 0.5Fib retracement level. I don't see...