MarcoOlevano

MarcoOlevano Updated 

Think the chart says it all - a very important level of support here on the jse gold miners index. Also a 61.8 retracement of Nov/Dec low & Feb High. Perhaps a very decent area to accumulate gold miners once more. Ties in nicely with gold spot price breaking out its wedge #Bullish - #anglogold #sibanyegold #harmonygold #goldfields

MarcoOlevano

The top40 index (J200) has now broken two very important levels and is not looking healthy at all! Firstly we have broken down from the rising channel which has been in place for the best part of this year. Secondly, we have today broken below the 49200 level which is the neckline and horizontal support of the head & shoulder pattern. Based on the break of this...

MarcoOlevano

I don't want to use this chart to give targets but merely as an illustration of what a very strong technical chart looks like. Firstly as can be seen by the price action we have seen successive higher lows and higher highs on MTN which is very much a characteristic of bullish chart. Adding to that, we have also seen all the major moving averages cross upward and...

MarcoOlevano Updated 

J537 - The index that tracks the general retails on our market is busy respecting and reversing off this downtrend and channel resistance which has been in place since the index topped in March 2018. Of course the election outcome could be a catalyst for a further reversal or break, but nevertheless, an important level to monitor in this chart to determine the...

MarcoOlevano

This chart looks like an emergency that requires an urgent intervention! Perhaps the major volume seen today could be an indication of capitulation and i will be monitoring the price action in the days ahead to see if it is able to recover from these over extended levels. Should this level hold which is also coincidentally the bottom of the downward sloping...

MarcoOlevano

Gold has spent the better part of 2019 consolidating last years gains in the form of a bullish wedge. This break above $1290 looks legit today and could see the gold price move back to the major resistance level at $1360.

MarcoOlevano

$JSEVOD released a decent set of results this morning in the face of a tough economic environment which we have witnessed locally for the last little while. Perhaps now with elections out the way and a gradual uptick in economic activity, this local counter could benefit from inflows into the SA inc sector of our market. This year we have seen price action...

MarcoOlevano

The All Country World Index ETF is facing stiff resistance once more at the 75$ level (5th test since Feb 2018). We have had a tremendous rally since the lows seen in December last year, but unless this level can break i would really be cautious chasing world markets. It is clear some US indices have broken to new highs, but the fact that we are still battling to...

MarcoOlevano

Sasol has broken down from the strong upward channel that has been in place since February of this year. In addition, it has also failed to make any progress above the 200 day moving average which makes this technical structure look very shaky. There is some strong support between R385-R400 should we get there in the weeks ahead which could potentially be a good...

MarcoOlevano

Barloworld has not much done in the last year - but it has formed a bullish rounding bottom in the process. The chart has worked off some overbought conditions on the daily chart and has now approached both its uptrend and 50 day ma, which has provided support on numerous occasions on pullbacks. A daily close above the baseline of this pattern at R137.00, should...

MarcoOlevano Updated 

Tiger brands has once again tested the critical R240 support and held so far today. If it can get some legs we could perhaps see a move back to R290.00. Ex dividend today and unbundling of OCE which will explain most the weakness seen today

MarcoOlevano Updated 

Explanation in the chart. Not an area i would be getting involved in commodity stocks on the JSE. Probability favours consolidation and a retracement in the sector.

MarcoOlevano

Bidvest has been trading in this box since November last year with two failed breakouts on both the upper and lower end. Other than those two fake breaks, action has been contained pretty much between R192 - R210. Without any positive news flow in the next couple of days/weeks there is a good chance this R210 level could resist again. If we see a reversal off...

MarcoOlevano Updated 

Palladium has had a run that can be described as nothing short of extravagant. Since bottoming out recently on the 16th August 2018, we have seen the price rally from $833 to the current high of $1615. To put it into perspective, that means the palladium price has basically doubled in a space of 7 months. With the recent inversion of the yield curve and markets...

MarcoOlevano Updated 

Telkom has once again bumped up into its trend line resistance which has formed highs in the stock on two previous occasions. The stock has been a strong outperformer in its sector and one wonders whether it has not possibly run too hard in the context of a weak economic backdrop locally. What is interesting to note is that the top in 2015 formed in early April....

MarcoOlevano Updated 

Kumba has been trading below it's 200 day moving average for the last 4 months and we have noticed most of the shorter term moving averages trending down and trading below this 200 day. This is evidence of a bearish trend and should see the stock move lower over time. We have recently tested the 200 day ma @ 286 and seen a quick rejection in price. We are trading...

MarcoOlevano

Haven't called this stock too well this year, however after the magnificent rally we have seen of late, the stock may have gone too far too soon. Firstly if you look at purely the candlestick formation after today's trade, we are possibly witnessing the formation of an evening star reversal formation (tbc tomorrow). Secondly, we are starting to see volume...

MarcoOlevano

I have decided to have a deeper look into the technical structure of our top40 index which should give you a better technical view of what to expect from our market. Firstly interesting to note is that price has rejected off the 61.8% fib retracement using the last swing high and low that we saw between August and October last year. We have seen numerous topping...