The fundamental trend with commercial and non-commercial is bullish, which suggests that buyers are in control of the market. However, the breakout indicator is indicating a bearish signal, which could suggest that a potential reversal or correction could be on the horizon. But it's possible that the bearish breakout signal is a false alarm or a temporary correction.
Wicks are not as random as you might think. In the BTC example we see the first bounce off from the previous untested high
Buy zone marked down only on the condition IF the shorting is fast. If it continues with the slow drag down the buy zone will probably be lower as well.