MoneyballAustin

MoneyballAustin

-This might seem like a "troll trade" but Coffee is held this 50-year range since 1975. -Price is high on the range and straight-up shorting getting out at a 50% gain seems like a high probability trade. Thoughts?

MoneyballAustin

-Price broke downward ML -Price removed opposing pivot supply and created new HH/HL -DBR demand created. -Swing buyers valid with 2x Stop loss locations I would consider OR Day-Traders can use 4hr demand as Higher timeframe and wait for new lower timeframe confirmation.

MoneyballAustin

-Price inside daily/weekly supply + trend = sideways. -Buyers still in control wait for selling confirmation of price breaking upward trend lines + removing opposing pivot demand zones. -We could see price break to the upside and then reverse (liquidity search/stop run).

MoneyballAustin

See Chart For Analysis HTF: -Price inside HTF demand -Trend on HTF = uptrend LTF: -Price broke downward ML -Price removed opposing pivot zones -DBR demand created

MoneyballAustin

See chart for analysis. Options: 1) waiting for price to break falling wedge to the upside and catch the pullback. 2) if price breaks to the downside then consider looking for scalp shorts NOT swing shorts because how strong the metals market is.

MoneyballAustin

See Chart For Analysis as we have 2x separate analysis for day-trades & swing trades.

MoneyballAustin

See picture below for analysis valid buy setup with price inside monthy demand + confirmation but smaller risk as HTF is tested + counter-trend.

MoneyballAustin

See picture above: Swing Traders keep eye on AUDNZD over next couple weeks for potential setups waiting for price to break-out. some traders will trade the momentum break some traders will trade the re-test some traders will look to trade the fail break-out Some traders will look for the confirmation re-test.

MoneyballAustin

See Chart Above For Analysis. -Price inside HTF weekly/Daily supply -Shrots valid but aggressive so need confirmation + smaller risk -Longs valid inside demand but LTF has shown confirmation -FED Rates Wednesday (Volatiltiy)

MoneyballAustin

See chart above for analysis: HTF: -Trend = downtrend so any longs will be counter-trend and smaller risk + quick trade management recommended. -Price inside HTF daily demand LTF: -confirmation 2.0 setup as there was no quality confirmation created the first time price returned. -Price broke downward ML -Price removed opposing pivot supply. -DBR created

MoneyballAustin

-See the Chart above for an analysis -Price reaching off of daily/weekly supply -Shorts valid with confirmation -Personally will be trading smaller timeframes but still interesting levels. buy still valid for day-trading/scalping to the upside

MoneyballAustin

Overextended Market -Price created many RBR in a row which gave us the ability to draw aggressive upward ML. -Market overextended and potentially elastic band effect. -Price broke aggressive ML -Price removed 2 opposing RBR demand Am not too sure about a HTF (W or D) but I still nice little RBD that could also be used as a HTF

MoneyballAustin

See picture for full analysis 1) but right now we have price reacting off of the monthly area of supply zone. 2) Weekly has shown confirmation and long-term position traders have potential short setup. 3) Or traders can consider using the weekly as the HTF supply and wait for new 2-4hr confirmation once price enters the HTF weekly supply.

MoneyballAustin

See picture above for top-down analysis but I'm personally bullish with HTF correlation + LTF.

MoneyballAustin

-Price broke uwpard ML -Price removed opposing pivot supply -DBR created -Valid 1TF swing or use 4hr demand as HTF and wait for new LTF conf day-trades. -Spread will be wide + comossions high... Ideally not for most traders.

MoneyballAustin

See picture above for analysis. Price insdie daily area of supply so shorts are valid with confirmation.

MoneyballAustin

See Picture above for analysis but with price inside daily/weekly supply zones shorts are valid with lower timeframe confirmation.

MoneyballAustin

Some traders will buy straight up the pullback back into the demand/support/break-out retest area while others will wait for a potential Stop hunt liquidity search of those traders and buy after that happens. I always like the idea of waiting for confirmation on smaller timeframes (1hr/4hr).... What are you looking for?