The positive correlation between these 2 charts is so high to ignore in the post-pandemic era..! Although predicting the outcome of earnings and market reaction to that is very hard, Meta (Facebook) could follow Netflix and disappoint the shareholders..! From a statistical point of view P-value of 0.0005 in the past 529 trading days means, you are looking at the...
cenario 1: a bullish trend after a flag pattern, Target range: 152-165 Scenario 2: a cup and handle pattern(not a classic one): target price 145-160 Scenario 3: a bullish regression channel (-3,+3) Scenario 4: A possible Bull trap (crossing above previous resistance) + Down Volume Phenomenon in the past 8 days! * Down Volume phenomenon: Price increase + volume...
The Lowest NDX reading in 2022 was on Feb 24th:13065.44 However, on that day Yearly performance of NASDAQ 100 was 8.25% which is 2/3 of the average yearly performance in the past few decades! On March 14th, NDX slipped to 13020, which was equal to -20.06% TD and -0.8% yearly..! It was the first time since the COVID crash that NDX had such a big correction...
All the gains in the past 50 months were wiped out..! No need for more explanation..! Try to be on the right side of the game is important..! What if Netflix goes down another 30-50% from here? Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m...
Rate of change is used to mathematically describe the percentage change in value over a defined period of time, and it represents the momentum of a variable. The calculation for ROC is simple in that it takes the current value of a stock or index and divides it by the value from an earlier period. Subtract one and multiply the resulting number by 100 to give it a...
I think we are very close to seeing a new all-time high, late April or May 2022..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes...
My First rule: While Earnings outcome could be predictable, the market reaction to the earnings is very hard to predict..! You can find all the combinations: From very disappointing earnings that resulted in a big jump in stocks price to very promising earnings leading to a big downward gap! A brief Fundamental Analysis: Now let's talk about Tesla's earnings on...
With current momentum, based on my analysis Coinbase could drop below 100 by the next earnings! It is a 50% drop from current prices! and it could happen in less than a month, If you are interested in shorting opportunities evaluate this! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a...
In this chart, you can not see Inflation (7.9%), however, it is still below the red line..! Based on my forecast if YOY inflation passes 8.5% it will fly far above it and soon it will be double..! Notice: We are going to experience a super volatile week: Interest Rate + Economic Projection + Quadruple Witch..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a...
On December 31, 2021: I chose the Gold chart for my Happy new year message to my followers. You may think it was a random choice, but it was not..! Gold is up 7.56% so far in 2022 which neutralizes the inflation better than other assets in 2022..! Let's bring back the Gold Standard and look at the charts: 1-NASDAQ100/GOLD Spot Price: -18.3% YTD 2-S&P...
Question: Is this a good time to buy? Answer: No So what is the plan? Wait,,! Wait for what? For the Pullback to 44-45K and buy..! What would be the target? 1st target would be 50-52k Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a...
Do you think the picture is similar to the chart pattern? I think soon we will have the answer to this question, I would rather wait for a clear breakout and confirmation to enter trade..! Previous analysis: Conclusion: Wait for breakout..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst,...
AMD reached 100 10 times since September 2021 and every time bounced back! AMD made a flat bottom triangle between Aug-Sep 2021 and continued another bullish rally: However, there is a big difference between a triangle after a Bullish rally and a bearish rally: Moreover, it could be considered a very wide Head & Shoulder pattern(not a classic one): ...
Closing below 1072 will push tesla towards the green line..! Tesla has finished the surprise move??? If you can describe the similarities between the golden box 1 and 2, you will see the future movement! Let's break it down: Use your neural network works for pattern recognition, you just need to train it well..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha...
PRINCIPAL INVESTMENT STRATEGIES The Fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that attempts to achieve the inverse (-1x) of the return of the ETF for a single day, not for any other period, by entering into a swap agreement on the ETF. A “single day” is measured from the time the Fund calculates its net asset value (“NAV”) to the time of the Fund’s next...
Based on my calculations, Jerome Powell is going to move the markets this week..! I am pretty much sure markets will move with higher momentum after FOMC..! Which side? We will have the answer in 2 days..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant,...
2022 started badly, but gives investors a generous opportunity to take some chips off the table..! The major difference between a Bullish rally and a relief rally is Volume..! In the past 14 years, I have read 100-150 K pages of books and articles about financial markets, never read a sentence that indicates a bullish rally with lower than average volume is...
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! AAPL: MSFT: TSLA: AMD: NVDA: FB: BABA: PLTR: TWTR: AMC: GME: TLRY: Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an...