Moshkelgosha

Moshkelgosha

When I published my analysis on March 7th, the price was 86-87..! I mentioned a 46% opportunity in less than 6 months..! 2 Trading days after that, Bank of America increase its price target for Valero from 107 to 135..! I believe there will be an exceptional Q1 earning at the end of April..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified...

Moshkelgosha

All traders have noticed the change in the market behavior in 2022..! This a market like you never have seen before..! This is the second-worst start of the year for US equities in 123 years. For context, the -11.9% drop in the first 44 trading days in 2022 is only rivaled by the 1920 Great Depression and the Great Financial Crisis. (MacroAlf, Author of The...

Moshkelgosha

Being on the wrong side of the equation will cost you a lot..! Cathie Wood's performance history in 2008 showed that..! I think she has a high chance to break her -48% (negative) return in 2008, after 14 years..! Why? in the first 3 months of 2022, her flagship is down 35%..! Forecast: ARK invest will not survive 2022..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha...

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The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major selloff and has proven to be a reliable predictor of some of the most severe bear markets of the past century, including 1929, 1938, 1974, and 2008. The death cross appears on a chart when a stock’s short-term moving average, usually the 50-day, crosses below its long-term moving...

Moshkelgosha

Year-over-year (YOY) is a method of evaluating two or more measured events to compare the results at one period with those of a comparable period on an annualized basis. (Investopedia) The United States Inflation Rate YoY Food (14% of total weight), energy (9.3 percent), commodities less food and energy commodities (19.4%), and services fewer energy services...

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This will be the start of a new trend in the energy sector..! In 2022 EV makers has no chance to beat these old dogs..! Do not forget at the right time even Lumber had beat Tesla's performance..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a...

Moshkelgosha

Today's Oil sell-off decreased its performance from 60% to 43% YTD..! But Crack Spread increased to 202% and it is well above the average of 2021..! more than double..! Those who know this industry know what I am talking about..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an...

Moshkelgosha

The answer is No..! Why? because it is in a consolidation zone, and the trend before it was bearish..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for...

Moshkelgosha

Is this Start of a new bullish trend? No, Is bitcoin in a consolidation pattern? Yes, Which scenario is more probable? Fluctuating in the consolidation zone..! Should I open a trad? No, Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m...

Moshkelgosha

In these charts, you can see the performance of Tesla, Lucid, NIO, and Rivian in 2022, which is -22%, -36%, -43%, and -59% respectively..! In the below analysis I added the Technical rating and Analysts ratings from the overview page of these tickers: My observations: 1- Technical rating show "Sell" for all 4 tickers! 2- Analyst ratings show Strong buy...

Moshkelgosha

the target for the past 2 analyses has reached 100% accuracy in time and price level. Now it is time for a new forecast..! In the past 5000 years, Goold has proved its ability to hold its purchasing power..! Inflation-adjusted by the US Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. shows based on this CPI adjustment, that the all-time...

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These days, your stocks create big gaps (usually down side) after earnings! Some People think this could be a good opportunity to enter a long position. but Is it really good to do that? My simple answer to this question is: No Why? Look at these examples in the past few months: FB: DOCU: PYPL: F: ZM: PINS: WISH: UPST: BABA: ...

Moshkelgosha

On December 9th, 2021 when RIVN was 116.5 I put the target on 60-40 in the next couple of months..! 11 days after that I recommended shorting RIVN would be the best among TSLA, LCID, and RIVN..! Today RIVN touched 39.86..! But I think it will go lower after the earning because it did not sell anything..! Why? Because it did not produce anything to...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

I think the RIVN chart pattern is very similar to HOOD and it could follow the very ae pattern and experience a sharp constant drop to 60-40 in a Bearish case..! You may think you have bought the next Tesla but Rivian can not be the next Tesla..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these...

Moshkelgosha

I think AMD will experience a sharp move between March 17-31. But before that, it will fluctuate in the triangle zone..! As you can see I have activated Rectangle, triangle, pennant, and wedge pattern detector..! These indicators seem useless and they work retrospectively..! Such a disappointment..! Hope to see a better version soon..! Best, Dr....

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To all those who blindly follow someone: I warned you at least a year ago, ARK invest is nothing but a social media campaign to create bubbles..! Look at the oil 125 price , and ask yourself: What if all Cathie Wood’s prediction end the same way? I recommend to watch her CNBC interview to see she is in total denial phase..! Like a very rookie trader..! ...

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Entry: the opening price Stop loss: closing below 36.6 Reward/Risk: Target range: 48-50 Time Frame: 4-12wks Possible gain: 25-30% Possible loss: 5-7% Position size: 5 % of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor,...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

If you don't want to accept the reality that Ark invest is in a downtrend, you will pay for it..! this is its weekly chart: 2 weeks ago Cathie Wood told CNBC: " People betting against us are shorting innovation" No, we do not, we bet against the social media created bubbles, We bet against your old investing style that failed in 2008 and pushed you out...