Moshkelgosha

Moshkelgosha

I do not want to publish my analysis today, but I want to ask you a couple of questions and let you do the analysis yourself..! 1- How many red and green candles do you see? 2- How many consecutive red or green candles do you see? 3- How many consecutive higher highs do you see? (Nasdaq reaching a new high in the next trading day in comparison to the previous...

Moshkelgosha

Recommended position size for all the trades was 3% of the capital! Net result based on Equalsie position: +110.5% Option trading 110.5* 0.03 = 3% = +3.315% and Stock trading Ideas: +0.3% If you have followed all my trading ideas (published by the trading bot) Your capital must grow +3.615% in January 2022: In January 2022: S&P 500: -6.06% NASDAQ:...

Moshkelgosha

If your position were equally in size (as recommended) your monthly outcome should be +6% if you took all the trades! Position size recommended for all trades was 5% of the trading capital: 6% * (0.05%) = +0.3% you may think it is not good but when you compare it with market performance in January 2022 it will shine..! In January 2022: S&P 500: -6.06% NASDAQ:...

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With the current momentum, it is highly likely BTC will retest the 30K zone in less than 3 weeks! Keep in mind this is a 3 weeks forecast and there will be some positive days in between that could be used for day traders! There is a slight chance BTC retest the 45-46K level in the next 7 days and then slips away! However, the probability of having more red days is...

Moshkelgosha

A comparison between NDX, SPX, DOW, and RUT in the post-pandemic crash clearly shows, Nasdaq and S&P 500 may soon follow the Small caps and enter Bear market ! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through...

Moshkelgosha

What Is a Bear Market? A bear market is when a market experiences prolonged price declines. It typically describes a condition in which securities prices fall 20% or more from recent highs amid widespread pessimism and negative investor sentiment.(Investopedia) 21% decline in the past 12 weeks makes Bear Market in Small-cap official..! I think there is no need...

Moshkelgosha

This is my 111 article about Tesla, and I would like to review the last 10 forecasts! There are two things common between these 10 forecasts, they all have a target sign and they all hit their target sign ..! If you have doubt, you can click on the links, push the play button, and see what is going to happen..! Keep in mind, I never trade Tesla shares and just...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

Tesla could touch 800 or lower by the earning! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial,...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

Let's first review the facts: 1- Moving in a Downward channel for more than 400 days! 2- Rejection from EMA50 today 3- Option wall data: 100-130 in the next 4 weeks! I think it is very unlikely to see BABA out of the bearish channel soon! These types of moves are the result of mean reversion traders! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial...

Moshkelgosha

Some people think I am Stubborn Some think I am Arrogant Some believe I am Lucky But I know I am not here to listen to these things..! I started this to shine a light on the bubbles and I think I did my job: I really feel proud that I started publishing a short analysis for NIO when it was 57, ARKK when it was 143, etc. I strongly recommend all the traders to...

Moshkelgosha

Everyone knows that Fed was wrong about inflation and they admitted in late November 2021. So there is no guarantee that they do not make other mistakes! Now the question is: Are they going to hit the brakes or just ease off the gas pedal..??? QT vs QE: Quantitative tightening (QT) (or quantitative hardening) is a contractionary monetary policy applied by a...

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I remember when I read an article about Warren Buffet sitting on 128 billion dollars cash at the end of 2019, I asked myself: What is about to happen? The pandemic-related crash happened in the following 2 months! Now, he is sitting on a bigger amount of cash. According to Bloomberg, he is sitting on 149.2 Billion Dollars in the era of the highest inflation rate...

Moshkelgosha

Be on the right side of change is a fancy title for an investment company that lost 23-25% of the value of their 4 main funds in the past 16 trading days! No need to say that these funds had lost 17-34% of their values in 2021. I think it is crucial to be on the right side of the change, otherwise...! One of my favorite Youtubers is Ozzy man, he has a series...

Moshkelgosha

PYPL and SQ are among the biggest fintech companies! PYPL P/E: 38 SQ P/E: 109 I think both have the potential to have a P/E ratio below 20..! If you are looking at price volume it clearly shows in 2021 they had experienced a huge decline of 16% and 46% which means lower ambition to invest in these companies in comparison to 2020! Soon they will be double...

Moshkelgosha

The story of Netflix will be repeated in all Tech stocks..! If you are looking at the performance of FANGs you can see that storm has just begun! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal...

Moshkelgosha

Ater 7 bullish years, AMZN has experienced a -16% decline since 2022..! It doesn't look like a bullish year and if AMZN goes down another 4% Bearish trend will be official! -30% decrease in Price volume in 2021 in comparison to 2020 clearly shows AMZN is not considered an attractive investment anymore! P/E 55 has a lot of room to correct in the high inflation...

Moshkelgosha

I have never seen a correction stronger than the main trend..! In the past 4 trading weeks, all the gains of the second half of 2021 have been wiped out..! I know a little about Macro and Fundamental as well: Let's look at some old school metrics: NASDAQ100 PE Ratio: 25.33 S&P 500 PE Ratio: 24.82 (Mean: 15.96),(Median:14.88),(Min:5.31),(Dec 1917)...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

I have written more than 20 analyses on ARKK since 2021, none were Bullish! I even compare it to the NET NET fund during the .com Bubble..! To all those who are loyal to ARK, now you need +122% to get to the same level Of February 2021..! This number will be increased to 200-300% in the next 2 months which makes it almost impossible! The celebrity fund manager...