Moshkelgosha

Moshkelgosha

Some people think I am Stubborn Some think I am Arrogant Some believe I am Lucky But I know I am not here to listen to these things..! I started this to shine a light on the bubbles and I think I did my job: I really feel proud that I started publishing a short analysis for NIO when it was 57, ARKK when it was 143, etc. I strongly recommend all the traders to...

Moshkelgosha

Everyone knows that Fed was wrong about inflation and they admitted in late November 2021. So there is no guarantee that they do not make other mistakes! Now the question is: Are they going to hit the brakes or just ease off the gas pedal..??? QT vs QE: Quantitative tightening (QT) (or quantitative hardening) is a contractionary monetary policy applied by a...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

I remember when I read an article about Warren Buffet sitting on 128 billion dollars cash at the end of 2019, I asked myself: What is about to happen? The pandemic-related crash happened in the following 2 months! Now, he is sitting on a bigger amount of cash. According to Bloomberg, he is sitting on 149.2 Billion Dollars in the era of the highest inflation rate...

Moshkelgosha

Be on the right side of change is a fancy title for an investment company that lost 23-25% of the value of their 4 main funds in the past 16 trading days! No need to say that these funds had lost 17-34% of their values in 2021. I think it is crucial to be on the right side of the change, otherwise...! One of my favorite Youtubers is Ozzy man, he has a series...

Moshkelgosha

PYPL and SQ are among the biggest fintech companies! PYPL P/E: 38 SQ P/E: 109 I think both have the potential to have a P/E ratio below 20..! If you are looking at price volume it clearly shows in 2021 they had experienced a huge decline of 16% and 46% which means lower ambition to invest in these companies in comparison to 2020! Soon they will be double...

Moshkelgosha

The story of Netflix will be repeated in all Tech stocks..! If you are looking at the performance of FANGs you can see that storm has just begun! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal...

Moshkelgosha

Ater 7 bullish years, AMZN has experienced a -16% decline since 2022..! It doesn't look like a bullish year and if AMZN goes down another 4% Bearish trend will be official! -30% decrease in Price volume in 2021 in comparison to 2020 clearly shows AMZN is not considered an attractive investment anymore! P/E 55 has a lot of room to correct in the high inflation...

Moshkelgosha

I have never seen a correction stronger than the main trend..! In the past 4 trading weeks, all the gains of the second half of 2021 have been wiped out..! I know a little about Macro and Fundamental as well: Let's look at some old school metrics: NASDAQ100 PE Ratio: 25.33 S&P 500 PE Ratio: 24.82 (Mean: 15.96),(Median:14.88),(Min:5.31),(Dec 1917)...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

I have written more than 20 analyses on ARKK since 2021, none were Bullish! I even compare it to the NET NET fund during the .com Bubble..! To all those who are loyal to ARK, now you need +122% to get to the same level Of February 2021..! This number will be increased to 200-300% in the next 2 months which makes it almost impossible! The celebrity fund manager...

Moshkelgosha

Based on the current momentum, I rather bet on the 1st possibility and keep in mind that 2 could be the alternative! How about you? Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on...

Moshkelgosha

if SHOP has lost 50% of its value in 42 days, do not be surprised if it lost another 30% from current prices in less than 1 month! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on...

Moshkelgosha

PLTR could cross below 10 soon! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal...

Moshkelgosha

Based on my calculations Fb could go down another 9-13% by the earnings! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not...

Moshkelgosha

Another 5% decline is highly likely for this week! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial,...

Moshkelgosha

Another 5-10% correction is highly likely for Microsoft in the next 2 weeks! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not...

Moshkelgosha

Based on my new calculation 10% decline could happen in the next 2 weeks! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

eBay lost its bullish channel after 13 months! It could go down to 60 and lower ..! Unless it get back to the channel! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an...

Moshkelgosha

I published my first ever Luna analysis when it was 99.77, and it was a short idea: with 100% time and price accuracy: Now it is time for a new forecast..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal...