Brace yourselves, investors, for a wild ride next week. Strap in for a one-two punch of market-moving events that could send stocks spinning like roulette wheels. In the red corner, we have the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, followed by Chair Jerome Powell's press conference. In the blue corner, a heavyweight lineup...
Tesla's EV Throne: Secure, But Stock Stumbles as AI Spotlight Shines Elsewhere Tesla, the undisputed king of the electric vehicle (EV) castle, faces a curious predicament. While its Model Y and X reign supreme on the roads, its stock ticker, TSLA, takes a drubbing in the market. The culprit? A spotlight shift towards artificial intelligence (AI), with Nvidia...
cyclical and seasonal patterns are recurring fluctuations observed in time series data like stock prices, but they differ in some key aspects: Periodicity: Seasonality: Occurs at a fixed and known period, usually related to the calendar year. Common examples include monthly, quarterly, or yearly fluctuations. Cycles: Have an unfixed and unknown period. Their...
The correlation between the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) and other asset classes can be complex and dynamic, but here's a general overview: Gold: Generally, DXY and gold have an inverse relationship. This means when the DXY strengthens (dollar appreciates), gold prices tend to decrease. Conversely, when the DXY weakens, gold prices often increase. This relationship...
Spotting Market Reversals: Evening Doji Star and Three Black Crows In the ever-churning ocean of financial markets, traders navigate treacherous waters armed with their knowledge and technical analysis tools. Among these tools, candlestick patterns serve as lighthouses, guiding traders toward potential turning points in price movements. Today, we'll explore two...
Trend is often a variable related to the time frame in a dataset, but it's not always an explicit variable itself. Here's a breakdown of how trend and time interact in data analysis: 1. Trend as a General Direction: Trend, in a broader sense, refers to the general direction or pattern of change in a variable over time. It doesn't necessarily have to be a...
The best trading year for QQQ ever: Let's look at some statistics: Of 249 trading days, only 141 (56.62%) were closed above the previous day's close! Of 52 trading days, only 35 (67.30%) were closed above the previous week's close! Now, you have a better understanding of Peter Lynch's quote: “You're going to make mistakes. If you're terrific in this...
This title is crazy enough for ordinary traders to be dismissed and not read! Yes, it is possible to remove the direction from trading by using directional neutral strategies. These strategies are designed to profit from both up and down markets, regardless of the overall trend. One common directional neutral strategy is to pair trade. This involves taking two...
Jim Simons said: "We have three criteria: If it's publicly traded, liquid and amenable to modeling, we trade it." This quote is from an interview with Simons in 2000. The three criteria he mentioned are the basic requirements for any asset that Renaissance Technologies would consider trading. Publicly traded means that the asset can be bought and sold on a...
Price action at the lower border of an upward channel has a higher chance of moving upward than price action at the upper border of a downward channel. This is because an upward channel is formed by higher highs and higher lows, which indicates an uptrend. When the price reaches the lower border of the channel, it finds support at a previous level and is more...
The trading value of the 5078 stock tickers traded in the 6088 billion USD. Hence, the trading value of the top 10 tickers with the highest dollar value of trading was 1811 billion USD, almost 29.75% of all circulated dollars in the market. The fact that the top 10 tickers account for almost 29.75% of all trading value is a sign of market inefficiency. This...
In this article, you will see the comparison between the different stages of EV and AI bubbles! Post-Pandemic Bubble: TSLA, NIO, WKHS: Bubble Burst: TSLA experienced +50, while NIO went Down -30% and WKHS went down -80%: TSLA bubble burst: February 18, 2021: I published this article The market front-runner industry (EV makers)seems exhausted ..! ...
Daily: at the bottom of a bearish channel Weekly breaking below the support line strongly Monthly: lower highs and lower lows for 3 months in a row! this pattern was only seen during the 2022 bearish market in the post-pandemic era! Conclusion: It is highly likely that we are moving toward a bearish market and any upward move should be considered temporary The...
I published my analysis for patrons on October 22nd! 30 charts in 1 analysis for the most important week of this quarter! you can find the analysis link:
Gross margin is the difference between a company's revenue and its cost of goods sold (COGS). It's expressed as a percentage of sales. Tesla has lowered its product sales price 5 times in 2023, as of October 25, 2023. Here is a timeline of Tesla's price cuts in 2023: January 19: Tesla lowered the price of the Model 3 and Model Y by $1,000 each. March 7: Tesla...
S&P500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 have broken below the lower level of a bearish channel and NASDAQ 100 is in the middle of a bearish channel. What scenario is more likely? A: NASDAQ100 will move toward the upper border of the channel in the coming days B: NASDAQ 100 will move toward the lower border of the bearish channel in the following days My Answer: The...
Tesla will post its financial results for the third quarter of 2023 after market close on Wednesday, October 18, 2023. TSLA: Oct 2nd,2023 In the third quarter, we produced over 430,000 vehicles and delivered over 435,000 vehicles. A sequential decline in volumes was caused by planned downtimes for factory upgrades, as discussed on the most recent earnings call....
Educational point: Triangles are similar to wedges and pennants and can be either a continuation pattern if validated, or a powerful reversal pattern, in the event of failure. There are three potential triangle variations that can develop as price action carves out a holding pattern, namely ascending, descending, and symmetrical triangles. Ascending triangle :...