Wyckoff analysis is a technical analysis approach that can help investors decide what stocks to buy and when to buy them. It is based on the observations of Richard Wyckoff, a stockbroker and financial analyst who lived in the early 20th century. Wyckoff observed that markets move in a cyclical pattern of four distinct phases: 1. Accumulation: This is the phase...
The best asset allocation for a possible WWIII would depend on a number of factors, including the severity of the conflict, the duration of the conflict, and the impact of the conflict on the global economy. However, some general principles can be applied. First, it is important to consider the potential for hyperinflation. Hyperinflation is a rapid and...
Systematic risk, also known as market risk or undiversifiable risk, is the risk that affects the entire stock market or a large market segment. It is caused by factors beyond the control of individual companies or industries, such as economic recessions, interest rate changes, inflation, and geopolitical events. Systematic risk is one of the two main types of...
The Russell 2000 Index is widely used as a benchmark for small-cap investing and is tracked by a number of mutual funds and ETFs. It is also considered to be a bellwether of the U.S. economy, as small-cap companies are often more sensitive to economic changes than large-cap companies. small-cap companies are generally more susceptible to monetary policies than...
This is a very bold prediction, but looking at the historical data it is not impossible to happen! So, it is good to think about! There have been two bear markets in the Dow Jones since 2000: • March 2000 - October 2002: The Dow Jones declined by 37.8% during this bear market, which was caused by the bursting of the dot-com bubble. • October 2007 - March 2009:...
The stock market has historically performed worse in September than in any other month of the year. This is known as the "September effect." Over the past 5 years, the stock market has also performed worse in September than in any other month of the year. The S&P 500 has averaged a return of -2.89% in September, compared to an average monthly return of 0.34% for...
A 3-bar pivot is a candlestick pattern that can be used to identify potential reversals in the market. It is formed by three candlesticks, with the middle candlestick having a higher high and lower low than both of the other two candlesticks. The 3-bar pivot pattern can be bullish or bearish, depending on the direction of the preceding trend. If the preceding...
Gladiator is my favorite movie! It has been source of motivation for me in the past 20 years! I watch this movie whenever I’m down! I can’t believe he posted this randomly just 3 weeks before Tesla’s earnings! Three weeks from now, I will be harvesting my crops. Imagine where you will be, and it will be so. Hold the line! Stay with me! If you find yourself alone,...
If a price pattern moves in a sine wave pattern, we can say that it is cyclical. A sine wave is a repetitive pattern of peaks and troughs, which is the definition of a cycle. However, it is important to note that not all sine wave patterns are created equal. Some sine wave patterns may be more cyclical than others. For example, a sine wave pattern with a very...
Who moves the markets? Jerome Powell In which direction? We do not know, honestly we do not need to know! This is bet for those who know what is long strangle!
Elon Musk's tweets indicating that the US is in the late stage of empire collapse are certainly attention-grabbing, but they are also quite controversial. Some people believe that he is right, while others believe that he is exaggerating or even wrong. There is no doubt that the US is facing a number of challenges, both domestic and international. However, it is...
Before answering the question please read this quote: “We know the past but cannot control it. We control the future but cannot know it.” (Claude Shannon) Claude Shannon's quote "We know the past but cannot control it. We control the future but cannot know it" is a profound statement about the nature of time and our relationship to it. The past is fixed and...
Jerome Powell is likely to say the following in the upcoming conference on Wednesday, September 20th: * The Federal Reserve is committed to bringing inflation down to its 2% target. * The Fed is prepared to continue raising interest rates until inflation is under control. * The Fed is aware of the risks of a recession, but it believes that these risks are...
Who is the market maker? The market makers are the entities that are responsible for providing liquidity to the market, and they make money by taking the opposite side of your trade. When you open a position in the financial markets, you are essentially playing a game of poker with the market makers. Just like in poker, the market makers are trying to predict...
Jim Simons about uncertainty: "Don't rely on luck alone. Develop a systematic approach that accounts for uncertainty and seeks to capitalize on opportunities." This quote highlights the importance of understanding and managing uncertainty in order to be successful in any field, including finance. Simons is a renowned mathematician and hedge fund manager who...
This is a familiar story for EV makers after their stock becomes publicly tradable! NIO, LUCID, RIVN, You can read my article about RIVN when it was 149 usd/share and 4th biggest automaker based on its market cap: However, it lost 89% of its value in 25 weeks! Today RIVN is ranked 23rd most significant market cap. NIO once had a market capitalization of $89.5...
Forbes: a top official at the Department of Health and Human Services released one of the most consequential announcements ever made at the federal level concerning cannabis prohibition. The agency formally recommended that cannabis be moved from Schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act, a classification for drugs that have a high potential for abuse and no...
I published my analysis about AI bubble burst in August, now it looks like TSLA supercomputer Dojo has attracted market attention and drain liquidity out of NVDA and cryptocurrency market! At the time of writing this article TSLA is +9.1% and NVDA -2.16%, and my quantitative model scored TSLA +10 (Max buy) and NVDA -10 (max sell). Meanwhile, cryptocurrency market...